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Tue, 15 Oct 2019
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Explosive development of Super Typhoon Hagibis

Typhoon Hagibis

Typhoon Hagibis in Himawari-8 images at 6:30 UTC today, October 7th.

Super Typhoon Hagibis has explosively strengthened from a tropical storm to Super Typhoon strength in less than 24 hours!


Hagibis was a tropical storm 24h ago (Oct 6th, 10h UTC), with peak sustained winds of 96 km/h. As of 00h UTC on October 7th, typhoon Hagibis had reached equivalent-CAT3 strength with peak sustained winds of 185 km/h, gusting up to 232 km/h. It continued rapid strengthening, with JTWC 00h UTC warning forecasting 222 km/h peak winds by 12h UTC, Oct 7th and 250 km/h sustained peak winds, gusting to 306 km/h by 00h UTC on October 8th.

Latest satellite imagery shows impressive structure on Hagibis, with a tight, pinhole eye, indicative of a very powerful system. Latest peak wind estimates put peak sustained winds at 241 km/h, a high-end equivalent-CAT4 Super Typhoon, just shy of equivalent-CAT5. It is thus strengthening even faster than anticipated.

Typhoon Hagibis is now approaching the Marianas Islands. Latest forecast path has it tracking over the uninhabited island of Anatahan in the northern part of the Marianas late today.

Blackbox

The IPCC's seldom mentioned 'uncertainties' when it comes to global warming 'tipping points'

uncertainty
The IPCC's latest serve of climate catastrophism, released just before the UN General Assembly met in New York last month, ironically contained some good news. But not even "inadequate" models, "limited" observations, poor understanding, dodgy "projections" and revelations about "deep uncertainty" could rein in the hyperbole.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the UN agency that "assesses" the status of climate-change science and produces reports on it. It also prepares a Summary for Policymakers (SPM). This document is crafted to be digestible by climate bureaucrats, national leaders and the media, most of whom have been drip-fed alarmist rhetoric for years, if not decades.

The IPCC is an odd outfit. Created in 1988 by the United Nations Environment Programme (UN Environment) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), it is no surprise to learn its Secretariat is located in the latter's Geneva building. Except for the Secretary Abdalah Mokssit, a Moroccan applied mathematician and meteorologist, most of its 18 staff seem to be "communications and media specialists" or administrators. The current chair is Hoesung Lee, a South Korean economist. He was elected in late 2015, after Rajendra Pachauri. resigned under a cloud of sexual harassment allegations.

The assessment reports are described as "neutral, policy relevant but not policy prescriptive". Translation: we are not telling you what to do, but encourage you to do what we are telling you. They are "drafted and reviewed in several stages". This byzantine process with its own jargon - "a calibrated language for the communication of confidence" - apparently ensures "objectivity and transparency". The IPCC does not conduct its own research.

Comment: See also:


Cloud Lightning

Surveillance video shows dog-walking man being struck by lightning in Spring, Texas

The moment the man is struck by lightning.

The moment the man is struck by lightning.
Surveillance video shows the moment a man walking his dogs gets struck by lightning — seconds before a group of good Samaritans saved his life.

The shocking footage, obtained by ABC affiliate KTRK, shows a white flash striking the man near his feet and knocking him face-first to the ground, as his three dogs scurry away.

The TV-station identified the man as Alex Coreas, and reported that he had been walking near the Stuebner Airline Veterinary Hospital in Spring, Texas on Thursday, when he was hit.

Two clinic workers and a third person rushed over to help, and when they reached Coreas, he wasn't breathing and his clothes were charred.


Cloud Lightning

Lightning bolt kills 4 of a family in Chandpur, Bangladesh

lightning
Four members of a family, including two children, were killed when a thunderbolt struck them in Boro Station area in the district town on Sunday.

The deceased were identified as Wahida Begum, 55, wife of Sultan Mia, their daughter Rehana Begum, 27, wife of Saiful Islam, and Rehana's son Sabbir, 8 and daughter Samia, 10 of Kachua upazila.

Quoting relatives of the victims family, Palash Barua, inspector of Chandpur Model Police Station, said a streak of thunderbolt struck the four people while they were visiting a tourist spot around 1:30 pm, leaving them injured.

Later, they were taken to Chandpur General Hospital where doctors declared them dead.

Attention

Alaska man recovering after bear mauling thwarted by his dad

bear
An Alaska man who was mauled by a bear before his father came to his rescue was being treated at Juneau hospital for deep bite wounds on his arm and leg, the father said Friday.

Casey Bradford, 21, was in good spirits but in a lot of pain a day after the brown bear attack near the Chilkat River, according to his father, 55-year-old Scott Bradford of Haines.

"I saw this brown thing chasing him," Bradford said. "My first thought was that it was a moose."

Bradford said he ran toward the bear and fired a shot over its head after it tackled his son. The spooked bear ran off as Bradford took better aim and fired again. He doesn't know if he struck the animal.

Attention

Bear kills 2 people in Mongolia

print
The National Police Agency said on Saturday that 2 people died in a bear attack in Mongolia as the animal attacked a Mongolian ger, the country's largest traditional round-shaped dwelling.

Munkhtur Munkhshur, NPA spokesperson, said that "A 55-year-old man and his eight-year-old son were killed in a bear attack in Yeruu soum of Selenge province on Thursday. The killer bear has not yet been found".

He added that "Many black bears have migrated from Russia into the northern parts of Mongolia due to severe forest fires in Siberia this summer. Officials believe that the killer bear may be one of them".

Police officials and emergency workers were dispatched to the scene.

Comment: Bear attacks increasing worldwide


Attention

Signs and Portents: Two-headed calf with five legs born in Malaysia

Unfortunately, the new-born died shortly after, possibly from suffocation.
© NSTP
Unfortunately, the new-born died shortly after, possibly from suffocation.
After six hours in labour, a cow in Kampung Seri Damai gave birth to a two-headed male calf with five legs, much to the surprise of its breeder as well as local villagers.

Unfortunately, the new-born died shortly after, possibly from suffocation.

Its owner Ibrahim@Aziz Abdullah, 66, from Kampung Seri Damai said the cow had shown signs of labour since 9am yesterday but efforts for a natural birth were unsuccessful due to the calf's unusual body structure.

Snowflake

Fall began with 3 bizarre weather events - Record snowfall, a heat wave and a Category 5 hurricane

September snow in Montana

September snow in Montana
Fall officially began on September 23, but clearly Mother Nature had other plans.

The first few days of the season haven't felt much like fall at all for many across the United States. From snow storms to heat waves — hello? Did we miss something? What happened to mild temperatures and colorful leaves? Here's a look at three wild weather events that marked the start of season.

Record-breaking snowfall in the Northwest

"This has never happened, ever," said Ray Greely, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Great Falls, Montana, about the September snowfall. The city got 9.7 inches of snow on September 28 — the highest one-day September snow amount in Great Falls history.

But that's not where the craziness ends. Even higher amounts fell in other areas in Montana: Browning got 4 feet, the Dupuyer area got 37 inches and the Heart Butte area got 34 inches.

History was made in Missoula, where the city broke its September snowfall record of 1.5 inches set in 1934.

Spokane, Washington, got in on the action. The 1.9 inches of snow on September 28 broke the monthly record for September, set in 1926, of 1.4 inches, according to the weather service.


Comment: For more information on extreme weather events from around the world, check out our monthly Earth Changes Summaries. The latest video: SOTT Earth Changes Summary - September 2019: Extreme Weather, Planetary Upheaval, Meteor Fireballs




Biohazard

Brain-shrinking fungus that can kill if touched found in Australia

fungi
© RAY PALMER/AFP
One of the world's deadliest fungi has been discovered in Australia's far north for the first time
One of the world's deadliest fungi has been discovered in Australia's far north for the first time - thousands of miles from its native habitat in the mountains of Japan and Korea.

The Poison Fire Coral fungus was discovered in a suburb of Cairns by a local photographer and subsequently identified by scientists, James Cook University announced Thursday.

Several people have died in Japan and Korea after mistaking the bright red fungi for edible mushrooms that are used in traditional medicine, and brewing it into a tea.

Comment: See also:


Seismograph

Moderate quake wakens San Francisco, Twitter flooded with witness reports

Map of San Francisco, CA
© USGS
Residents of San Francisco and the Bay Area were shaken from their sleep by a 3.9-magnitude earthquake. Luckily, this time the quake triggered only memes and videos from rudely awoken San Franciscans.

The tremor struck just 6km (3.7 miles) off the coast of Colma, just south of San Francisco, on Saturday morning, according to the US Geological Service. An earthquake of this magnitude is strong enough to cause minor damage, but typically results in only shaking and rattling of objects indoors.

It's not just the living that were disturbed from their sleep. Colma, the town closest to the epicenter, is home to more than 1.5 million dead bodies. Founded as a necropolis in 1924, the dead outnumber the living in Colma by nearly a thousand to one.