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Tue, 02 Nov 2021
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Why so many hurricanes this year?

Hurricane Sandy
© NOAA
NOAA's GOES East satellite snapped this image of Hurricane Sandy at 10:45 a.m. EDT (1445 UTC) on Oct. 24, 2012, as it was headed for landfall on Jamaica.

Before the beginning of this hurricane season, back in May, forecasters thought this year would be an average one. Come August, when the season typically peaks, forecasters notched up their outlook, saying the season would in fact be busier than average.

Now it's October and it's been one of the busiest seasons on record, with 19 named storms so far this year, 10 of which became hurricanes, including Hurricane Sandy, which has the potential to strike the East Coast.

That puts the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season in rarified company. Only seven seasons since 1851 (as far back as hurricane records reach) have seen 19 or more named storms. Three of these have been within the last decade: the 2010 and 2011 seasons had 19 storms each and the 2005 season had a whopping 28 storms, the most on record, including Hurricane Katrina.

Originally the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted there would be nine to 15 named storms this year. Then, in August, it upped its prediction to 12 to 17 named storms, with five to eight of those becoming hurricanes. (Storms are named once they attain tropical storm status - defined as a rotating, organized storm with maximum sustained winds of at least 39 mph (63 kph). A tropical storm becomes a hurricane once its top winds hit at least 74 mph (119 kph).

It's relatively unusual to have more storms than forecast, said Gerry Bell, the lead hurricane season forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. So why has this hurricane season been busier than expected?

The underestimate can be blamed on El Niño, Bell told OurAmazingPlanet. Or rather, the lack of El Niño. Forecasters predicted that this climate pattern, characterized by warm surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, would have developed by now and stymied hurricane formation by its influence on the atmosphere. But it hasn't.

Nuke

Fukushima fish still radioactive

Greenlings
© Corbis
Greenlings are in the family of Hexagrammidae marine fish and include lingcod (Ophiodon elongatus).

More than a year and a half after an earthquake and tsunami destroyed the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant in Japan, many fish in the area contain levels of radioactive cesium that are just as high as they were soon after the disaster.

The finding suggests that the region's coastal-dwelling fish are still being exposed to new sources of cesium, possibly from the seafloor or from contaminated groundwater that's flowing into the ocean. And even though most fish sampled in the new study had levels of cesium below safe limits for consumption, some fish contained surprisingly large amounts.

Japan has already closed fisheries near Fukushima to reduce human exposure. The new results suggest that it may be a long time before levels of radiation in the ocean decline after nuclear disasters like the Fukushima meltdown.

"If (the cesium) is in the seafloor, it could be many years or even decades for that to go away," said Ken Buesseler, an oceanographer at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Mass. "That implies we're going to have an issue in coastal fisheries for a long time to come in Japan. We certainly can't say we're out of the woods yet."

"Just because you haven't read about it in the news" lately, he added, "doesn't mean it has gone away."

Because the Japanese rank among the most voracious consumers of seafood in the world, the country's Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries has been closely monitoring radiation levels in coastal fish since the Fukushima disaster in March of 2011.

Cow Skull

Locust plague may spread to North Africa as swarms form in Chad

Image
Locusts will probably spread to North Africa in coming weeks as swarms form in Chad and are about to gather in Mali and Niger after summer rains, the United Nations' Food & Agriculture Organization said.

The FAO has alerted Algeria, Morocco, Libya and Mauritania to prepare for the arrival of desert locust swarms, the Rome- based agency wrote in an e-mailed statement today. The conflict in Mali, which has asked for international military assistance to help it deal with an Islamist occupation of the country's northern region, makes it unlikely all locust infestations there will be found and treated, the FAO said.

"Prevailing winds and historical precedents make it likely the swarms, once formed, will fly to Algeria, Libya, southern Morocco and northwestern Mauritania," Keith Cressman, the FAO's senior locust forecasting officer, was cited as saying in the statement. "Once there, they could damage pastures and subsistence rain-fed crops."

Bizarro Earth

'Loud blasts heard' - Earthquake strikes Viet Nam

Image
© Tuoi Tre
Thousands of residents rushed out from their houses when the 4.6 degree quake hit Bac Tra My District in Quang Nam Province last night
An earthquake, the strongest since 1957, occurred last night in Quang Nam Province's Bac Tra My District, where the Song Tranh 2 Hydropower Plant is located, panicking thousands of local residents.

A series of tremors measuring 4.6 on the Richter scale broke out in the district at 9:42 pm Monday and lasted for about three seconds, said Le Van Tuan, chief of the district People's Committee's Secretariat.

Thousands of locals rushed out of their houses in panic after they heard loud blasts and felt the ground shaking, houses' walls cracking, and things inside the houses falling, Tuan said.
"Many items on a table in my house fell down to the floor and my children cried and screamed when hearing explosions that sounded like the sounds of bombings," he said.

Comment: This earthquake, or whatever it was, does not show up on USGS. The recent quakes may be reservoir induced. There was a similar earthquake September 4th, 2012, that also wasn't registered on USGS. Of course, this in itself isn't proof that there wasn't an earthquake - nor can it be ruled out that some type of 'overhead activity' could have caused the loud explosions.


Better Earth

Earth's dramatic oxygen rises and subsequent falls

Image
© Lyons Lab, UC Riverside
This is a carbonate rock in Zimbabwe used to trace sulfate levels in the Earth's early oceans.
Oxygen's ups and downs in the early atmosphere and ocean

UC Riverside-led research team finds evidence for a dramatic rise in early oxygen about 2.3 billion years ago followed, more surprisingly, by an equally impressive fall

Riverside, California - Most researchers imagine the initial oxygenation of the ocean and atmosphere to have been something like a staircase, but with steps only going up. The first step, so the story goes, occurred around 2.4 billion years ago, and this, the so-called Great Oxidation Event, has obvious implications for the origins and evolution of the first forms of eukaryotic life. The second big step in this assumed irreversible rise occurred almost two billion years later, coinciding with the first appearances and earliest diversification of animals.

Now a team led by geochemists at the University of California, Riverside challenges the simple notion of an up-only trend for early oxygen and provides the first compelling direct evidence for a major drop in oxygen after the first rise.

"Our group is among a subset of scientists who imagine that oxygen, once it began to accumulate in the ocean-atmosphere system, may have ultimately risen to very high levels about 2.3-2.2 billion years ago, perhaps even to concentrations close to what we see today," said Timothy Lyons, a professor of biogeochemistry and the principal investigator of the project. "But unlike the posited irreversible rise favored by many, our new data point convincingly to an equally impressive, and still not well understood, fall in oxygen about 200 million years later."

Info

'Climate of Doubt' PBS Special: Heartland Institute Anticipates Inaccuracies

global warming fraud t-shirt
© n/a
On Tuesday, October 23, PBS's "Frontline" program will broadcast a special titled "Climate of Doubt." It promises to go "inside the organizations" that helped turn the tide of public opinion, and then of elected officials, away from excessive concern over the possible threat of man-made global warming.

The Heartland Institute is likely to be a central figure in this program as we welcomed "Frontline" producer Catherine Upin and her crew to our Seventh International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago in May. Heartland Institute Senior Fellow James M. Taylor also gave a three-hour interview to the film crew in August. Earlier this year, The Economist called Heartland "the world's most prominent think tank promoting skepticism about man-made climate change."

We hope the program is accurate and fair, but past experience both with PBS and other mainstream media outlets leads us to predict it will be neither. Several Heartland staff will be watching the program and commenting live via Twitter and on our blog, Somewhat Reasonable.

Bizarro Earth

USGS: Earthquake Magnitude 6.6 - NE of Hojancha, Costa Rica

CostaRica Quake_241012
© USGS
Event Time
2012-10-24 00:45:36 UTC
2012-10-23 18:45:36 UTC-06:00 at epicenter

Location
10.118°N 85.348°W depth=39.5km (24.5mi)

Nearby Cities
10km (6mi) NE of Hojancha, Costa Rica
11km (7mi) ESE of Nicoya, Costa Rica
30km (19mi) ESE of Santa Cruz, Costa Rica
44km (27mi) SW of Canas, Costa Rica
140km (87mi) W of San Jose, Costa Rica

Technical Details

Bizarro Earth

USGS: Earthquake Magnitude 6.0 - WNW of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia

Hunter Quake_231012
© USGS
Event Time
2012-10-23 09:39:31 UTC
2012-10-23 20:39:31 UTC+11:00 at epicenter

Location
22.316°S 171.675°E depth=127.0km (78.9mi)

Nearby Cities
39km (24mi) WNW of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia
482km (300mi) ESE of We, New Caledonia
524km (326mi) E of Mont-Dore, New Caledonia
537km (334mi) E of Noumea, New Caledonia
538km (334mi) E of Dumbea, New Caledonia

Technical Details

Bizarro Earth

Huge southern ribbonfish found in Lake Wooloweyah, Australia

Ribbonfish
© The Daily Examiner, Australia
This strange creature was found at Lake Wooleweyah at the weekend.
The Lake Wooloweyah Monster, Baby Nessie, Frankenfish - no matter how you'd describe it, there's no doubt a bizarre creature found near the banks of Lake Wooloweyah on the weekend was an unusual sight
Local man Stuart Boxsell came across the fish - about two metres long - in the shallows on Sunday. Unfortunately the fish was in a bad way and died shortly after it was found.

It has since been identified as a southern ribbonfish (trachipterus jacksonensis) - a rarely-seen, deep-sea-dwelling creature.

While the question of what it is has been solved, what it was doing out of its natural habitat in the shallows of Lake Wooloweyah remains a complete mystery.

Anyone who can shed some light on this puzzle can email us on coastalviews@dailyexaminer .com.au.

Bizarro Earth

San Andreas fault line produced 5.3 magnitude earthquake in Central California

Image
© USGS
California's central valley was jiggled by a magnitude 5.3 earthquake Sunday, days after the anniversary of the big Bay Area quake of 1987, seismologists said. Sunday's shaker occurred shortly before midnight PDT and was centered outside King City, about 160 miles south-southeast of Sacramento, the U.S. Geological Survey said. There were no reports of damage or injury in the rural area.

The USGS said the quake occurred along California's famed San Andreas Fault, which triggered the famed 1906 San Francisco Earthquake and the Loma Prieta quake in Oct. 17, 1989, which killed 64 people and caused significant damage in the San Francisco Bay Area.

Seismologists said the fault in the King City area has been largely a mystery. "The fault in this region is locked, exhibiting no creep at the surface and generating very few microearthquakes that are associated with minor slipping at depth," the USGS said.