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Thu, 05 Oct 2023
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Earth Changes


El Nino Now Official - Possible Implications

Sea Temps
Tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures this week.

The official El Nino criteria has been met. Now the meteorological world looks to see how strong and how long this lasts. Count on CPC and other forecast centers to go for a warm winter as a result of El Nino but as we have shown, there are differences in El Ninos depending on the overall mode in the Pacific Basin (the PDO). The tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures this week are shown here.

You can see the warm plume along the tropical easterly belt along the equator. The depth cross section shows the pool of warm water that has suppressed the thermocline in the eastern Pacific.
Sea Temp
Warm plume along the tropical easterly belt along the equator.

Evil Rays

Australia: Turnbull needs to recognise the tide is turning on climate change

Malcolm Turnbull today, in the headlines for the wrong reason, does not seem to know which way to jump on climate change.

He's now floated a new strategy but the suggestions are that he doesn't have shadow Cabinet support for it.

Well, may I direct his attention to a piece in the Wall Street Journal at the end of last month.

Rick Shaffer has a television job in America called the Money Show.

He's an attorney, a graduate of Boston College and Northeastern University School of Law.

And he referred his viewers/listeners to a column that recently appeared in the Wall Street Journal pointing out and explaining the growing scepticism amongst scientists and politicians around the world, including the United States, over the accuracy of the so-called unarguable fact that global warming is occurring, is caused by mankind and can be cured by mankind.


US: Nashville Ties Or Breaks Low Temperature Record 3 Straight Mornings

Cool weather has broken a previous low temperature for July 21 in Nashville that was set when Rutherford B. Hayes was president.

When the temperature at the National Weather Service station dipped to 58 degrees at 5:30 a.m. on Tuesday, it wiped out the previous record low for the date of 60 degrees, which was set in 1877.

NWS forecaster Bobby Boyd noted it was the third consecutive morning when Nashville either tied or broke a daily low temperature record.

Temperatures were cool, but did not break records at several Tennessee cities.

Knoxville dropped to 59 degrees Tuesday morning, Chattanooga had 60 degrees, Tri-Cities recorded 58 degrees and Memphis was 69 degrees.

Nashville dropped to 59 degrees early Monday and Knoxville bottomed out at 60 degrees -- both tying records for the date.

Better Earth

US: Cities take dip into low-temp record book over weekend

Omaha missed out on temperature record-setting Sunday.

Lincoln, however, had a second consecutive day of record low temperatures for July - a month more associated with sweating than sweaters.

According to the National Weather Service, a low temperature of 51 degrees at 6:15 a.m. Sunday at Lincoln Municipal Airport broke the city's 1947 record of 53 degrees.

Saturday, a temperature of 53 degrees at 6:45 a.m. at Eppley Airfield had broken Omaha's 1873 record of 57 degrees. But Omaha's low temperature of 53 degrees Sunday morning wasn't enough to break the 1873 record of 51 degrees.

Meteorologist Cathy Zapotocny of the National Weather Service's office in Valley said temperatures vary from area to area because of development and elevation. Urban areas tend to stay warmer and rural areas cooler, she said.


Republicans Demand EPA Administrator Jackson Give Full Response on Suppression of Dissent

Washington - All Republican members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee's Investigations Subcommittee, including the full committee's ranking member, U.S. Rep. Joe Barton of Texas, and the subcommittee's ranking Republican, U.S. Rep. Greg Walden of Oregon, joined Thursday in pressing EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson to explain why and how a career EPA official's views were suppressed when he questioned Democrats' policy on global warming.

Their letter marks the second attempt to get information from EPA since a series of bizarre e-mails became public and demonstrated that a long-term EPA official was ordered not only to stop dissenting, but to stop working on global warming issues altogether.

"Questions about the process and treatment of critical opinion and debate within EPA have only increased since we wrote three weeks ago," the lawmakers wrote. "Since that time, you or EPA spokesmen have issued statements at once minimizing the critical comments by a senior career employee, Dr. Alan Carlin, on the quality of the agency's basis for the proposed endangerment finding, and ignoring the substantive questions about the integrity of the EPA process raised by the alleged suppression of Dr. Carlin's report.


In Provo, a call to action against federal climate bill

Tom Tripp
© Lance Booth/Daily Herald
Tom Tripp, of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, speaks at the Utah Farm Bureau conference, held at the Marriott, in Provo, on Thursday, July16th.

The U.S. effort to counteract climate change is poised to not only destroy the U.S. economy, but dramatically increase global carbon dioxide levels.

That was the message, on Thursday, from Tom Tripp, a magnesium specialist from Utah who gave a 45-minute keynote address in Provo at the Utah Farm Bureau Midyear Conference.

Beyond magnesium, Tripp has one other distinction to his name -- he is one of 2,000 members of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change who share half a Nobel Prize, the other half owned by former vice president Al Gore.

But though Tripp and Gore may share the same Nobel honor, Tripp's message on climate change is Gore's polar opposite.

The public, Tripp said, should be warned that the climate bill that just passed the House and is headed for the Senate could bring America to its knees.


Temblors Rattle Cleburne Texas

© Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images
Five small earthquakes this month have become the talk of Cleburne, Texas, where a natural gas boom has brought drilling closer to residential areas

This small city at the epicenter of the region's natural-gas boom has been shaken by another arrival from underground: earthquakes.

Five small temblors this month have some people pointing the finger at technology that drilling companies use to reach deep into the earth to shatter rock and release new stores of natural gas -- the same technology that has made many of the locals rich.

Thousands of wells have been drilled in the past five years. Now, a wave of small earthquakes is leading some residents in the north Texas town to link the two developments and some seismic experts to wonder about the cause.

The industry says there isn't any evidence linking the quakes to gas production. Even geophysicists, who take the residents' concerns seriously and are deploying seismic sensors in the area, say they can't prove a connection between the drilling and the quakes.

Bizarro Earth

Earthquake Magnitude 4.3 - Gaspe Penisula Quebec, Canada

© US Geological Survey
Tuesday, July 21, 2009 at 14:20:55 UTC
Tuesday, July 21, 2009 at 10:20:55 AM at epicenter

49.809°N, 65.709°W

18 km (11.2 miles) set by location program

65 km (40 miles) SE (132°) from Sept-Îles, Québec, Canada

139 km (87 miles) NW (322°) from Gaspe, Quebec, Canada

188 km (117 miles) ENE (69°) from Baie-Comeau, Québec, Canada

526 km (327 miles) NE (49°) from Québec, Québec, Canada

Bizarro Earth

Japanese fishermen brace for giant jellyfish

© AFP / Getty Images
A diver attaches a sensor to a Nomura's jellyfish off the coast of northern Japan in October 2005
Giant jellyfish descend on the Sea of Japan, causing untold devastation to coastal villages and leaving a trail of destruction and human misery behind. Sounds like a great sci-fi flick. But it's not. It's real and a nightmare for Japanese fishermen.

The massive sea creatures, called Nomura's jellyfish, can grow 6 feet (1.83 meters) in diameter and weigh more than 450 pounds (204 kilos). Scientists think they originate in the Yellow Sea and in Chinese waters. For the third year since 2005, ocean currents are transporting them into the Sea of Japan.

Monty Williams, a marine biologist at Alabama's Dauphin Island Sea Lab, said the jellyfish grow to an enormous size as they are transported by ocean currents. He said they stay together in packs and as they drift northward, they get caught in fishermen's nets.

The giant jellyfish are one of about 200 species of coastal jellyfish or large jellyfish that exist around the world. But Nomura's stands out because of its enormous size. "The sheer size of them, individually, makes them fairly spectacular," Williams said.

Life Preserver

Global Sea Level Updated at UC - still flattening

There was a lot of wailing and gnashing of teeth when Dr. Roger Pielke mentioned a couple of weeks ago in a response to Real Climate that "Sea level has actually flattened since 2006″.

Today the University of Colorado updated their sea level graph after months of no updates. Note it says 2009_rel3 in lower left.
sea level rise JASON TOPEX
© University of Colorado
Source: University of Colorado.

Here is the next oldest graph from UC that Pielke Sr. was looking at.

The newest one also looks "flat" to me since 2006, maybe even a slight downtrend since 2006. Let the wailing and gnashing begin anew.