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Wall Street Journal: Is the coronavirus as deadly as they say?

Eran Bendavid and Jay Bhattacharya
Wall Street Journal
Tue, 24 Mar 2020 18:21 UTC
emergency room line Brooklyn
© Andrew kelly/Reuters
A line at an emergency room in Brooklyn, N.Y., March 19.
Current estimates about the Covid-19 fatality rate may be too high by orders of magnitude.

If it's true that the novel coronavirus would kill millions without shelter-in-place orders and quarantines, then the extraordinary measures being carried out in cities and states around the country are surely justified. But there's little evidence to confirm that premise — and projections of the death toll could plausibly be orders of magnitude too high.

Fear of Covid-19 is based on its high estimated case fatality rate — 2% to 4% of people with confirmed Covid-19 have died, according to the World Health Organization and others. So if 100 million Americans ultimately get the disease, two million to four million could die. We believe that estimate is deeply flawed. The true fatality rate is the portion of those infected who die, not the deaths from identified positive cases.

Comment: As more and more mainstream publications are publishing articles questioning the mainstream narrative on the coronavirus, cracks start to appear in the manufactured consensus. How long will they be able to keep the population confined to their houses in the face of growing doubt?

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Brick Wall

Peter Hitchens: Is shutting down Britain - with unprecedented curbs on ancient liberties - really the best answer?

Peter Hitchens
Daily Mail
Sun, 22 Mar 2020 01:53 UTC
peter hitchens
Some years ago I had the very good luck to fall into the hands of a totally useless doctor. It was hell, and nearly worse than that, but it taught me one of the most important lessons of my life. He was charming, grey-haired, smooth and beautifully dressed. He was standing in for my usual GP, a shabbier, more abrasive man.

I went to him with a troubling, persistent pain in a tender place. He prescribed an antibiotic. Days passed. It did not work. The pain grew worse. He declared that in that case I needed surgery, and the specialist to whom he sent me agreed with barely a glance. I was on the conveyor belt to the operating table.

In those days I believed, as so many do, in the medical profession. I was awed by their qualifications. Yet the prospect of a rather nasty operation filled me with gloom and doubt. As I waited miserably for the anaesthetist in the huge London hospital to which I had been sent, a new doctor appeared. I braced myself for another session of being asked 'Does this hurt?' and replying, between clenched teeth, that yes it blinking well did. But this third man was different. He did not ask me pointlessly if it hurt. He knew it did. He was, crucially, a thinking man who did not take for granted what he was told.

Comment: See also:

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Attention

Coulter: How do we flatten the curve on panic?

Ann Coulter
Breitbart
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 08:09 UTC
flat curve
If, as the evidence suggests, the Chinese virus is enormously dangerous to people with certain medical conditions and those over 70 years old, but a much smaller danger to those under 70, then shutting down the entire country indefinitely is probably a bad idea.

But even when the time is right — by Easter, June or the fall — there will be no one to stop the quarantine because the media will continue to hype every coronavirus death, as if these are the only deaths that count and the only deaths that were preventable.

What mayor, governor or president will be willing to take the blame for causing a coronavirus death?

We'll get no BREAKING NEWS alerts for the regular flu deaths (so far this season, more than 23,000, compared to 533 from the coronavirus).

Nor for the more than 3,000 people who die every day of heart disease or cancer. No alerts for the hundreds who die each day from car accidents, illegal aliens and suicide.

Only coronavirus deaths are considered newsworthy.

Comment: See also:

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Red Pill

Interview with Professor Didier Raoult on the coronavirus


The Saker
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 02:16 UTC
Didier Raoult

Didier Raoult
Professor Raoult is a leading expert on infectious diseases. He is confident he has a cure for Covid 19, which he is using in his Marseille hospital. He is having trouble getting the French health authorities to take him seriously. Despite his international renown he does not get on too well with the Parisian medical establishment. And he has long hair. Oh dear... Read on: —

[Translation Robert Harneis - The article in French is here]

LE PARISIEN - The government has authorized a large scale clinical trial to test the effect of Chloroquine on Coronavirus. Is having got that to happen important for you?

DIDIER RAOULT - No, I couldn't care less. I think there are people living on the Moon and who contrast controlled trials for Aids with trials for a new infectious disease. Like any other doctor, once a treatment has been shown to be effective, I find it immoral not to use it. It is as simple as that.
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Attention

New Zealand police can now enter homes to look for 'people gathering'

Thomas Manch
Stuff
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 21:39 UTC
Ponsonby Road, New Zealand
© JASON DORDAY/STUFF
Ponsonby Rd on the first day of the lockdown in New Zealand.
Police officers now have the power to enter homes to enforce self-isolation rules.

New Zealand entered a four-week lockdown to break the transmission of coronavirus on Thursday. Overnight, police officers have pulled over people who were breaking the self-isolation order — apparently unaware it was in place.

Police Commissioner Mike Bush, in a series of radio and TV interviews on Thursday morning, reiterated people will initially see the "friendly face" of police during the lockdown.

"But we'll be ensuring people will comply because if they don't, people will die," Bush said on RNZ.

He said police already had to educate people on the self-isolation order overnight, and would continue this informative approach unless people intentionally flout the rules.
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Cell Phone

UK government's WhatsApp 'chatbot' service aimed at countering Covid-19 'misinformation' suffers launch malfunction


RT
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 03:19 UTC
coronavirus
© REUTERS / Dado Ruvic/ Illustration
The launch of the UK government's new WhatsApp 'chatbot' service designed to "combat the spread of coronavirus misinformation" got off to an embarrassing start, with claims that it "didn't seem to work."

Billed as a simple, free way to receive official government advice on the Covid-19 outbreak through the popular chat app - owned by Facebook - it was designed to help ensure that people stay at home and to relieve pressure on the National Health Service.

However, the Guardian's media editor Jim Waterson reported on social media that the service had encountered operational issues on Wednesday - launch day.
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Health

Russian military infection specialists heading for coronavirus-plagued Northern Italy


RT
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 00:00 UTC
Russian convoy of medics in Italy
© Twitter / Russia's Defense Ministry
Russian military specialists who arrived in Italy to help with the fight against coronavirus are heading towards the north of the country, which has been affected by the deadly epidemic the worst.

The convoy, composed of 22 trucks and other vehicles, set off for the northern Italian city of Bergamo early on Wednesday. The convoy, escorted by the Italian Carabinieri, has reached Florence, making a brief stop there, the Russian military says.

Comment: See also:

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Bizarro Earth

The division of labor's destruction and the change of Western civilization as we know it

Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
LewRockwell.com
Sat, 21 Mar 2020 00:00 UTC
end of civilization
Governments all over the world are using the alleged threat of a COVID-19 pandemic to shut down the world's economy. Daniel Lacalle, an authority on energy economics, writes: "The decision to shut down air travel and close all nonessential businesses is now a reality in major global economies. The United States has banned all European flights as Italy enters a complete lockdown, Spain declares a state of emergency, and France closes all nonessential public places and businesses."

Further, he points out, governments can't solve the problems they have created through massive spending programs and bigger deficits. These policies make things worse: "Governments will implement large demand-side policies that are the wrong answer to a shutdown of the economy. Most businesses will suffer from the collapse in sales and subsequent working capital build, and none of that will be solved with deficit spending. You cannot mitigate a supply shock with demand policies, which increase debt and overcapacity in the already indebted and bloated sectors and do not help the sectors that are suffering an abrupt collapse in activity." And government printing of money, i.e., outright inflationism, is even more dangerous.
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Bizarro Earth

Gunmen kill 25 at Sikh temple in Kabul, IS claims responsibility


RFE/RL
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 07:32 UTC
Afghan

An Afghan Sikh woman mourns for her relatives near the site of an attack in Kabul on March 25.
Militants launched an attack on a Sikh temple in Kabul that left at least 25 people dead before security forces killed the attackers and freed dozens of hostages.

Interior Ministry spokesman Tariq Arian did not say how many attackers were involved in the March 25 assault on the temple, though he said all were killed.

The Islamic State militant group has claimed responsibility for the attack via the online Amaq news agency, which it uses to distribute statements.

Afghanistan's Interior Ministry said that in addition to the 25 dead, eight people were wounded and 80 being held in the compound were rescued.

Comment: 'ISIS' strikes again. They're apparently determined to sabotage US-Taliban peace talks. Who might that benefit?...

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X

New York closing streets, opening to pedestrian traffic to fight 'problem' parks where social distancing rules not being followed


RT
Wed, 25 Mar 2020 17:04 UTC
7th Avenue in Manhattan
© REUTERS/Carlo Allegri
Person takes pictures in the middle of 7th Avenue in Manhattan
As New York continues to deal with a daily rise in coronavirus cases, Governor Andrew Cuomo announced a plan to fight social density issues by closing streets and banning contact sports.

Cuomo announced New York City will soon be "piloting" a program that will see the closure of some streets to cars. The streets would then be open to pedestrian traffic.

The governor said the program is in direct response to city parks, which he admitted have become a "problem," as many individuals are not following social distancing rules, and the density of people puts them and others at greater risk of contracting the coronavirus.

"People want to walk. They want to go out and get some air. You want a less dense area, so pilot closing streets to cars, opening streets to pedestrians," Cuomo said, adding that the plan is only possible at the moment because there is far less traffic than normal.
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