© Vincent Kessler/ReutersMarine Le Pen, French National Front (FN) political party leader and Member of the European Parliament.
After the shock of Brexit and then election of Donald Trump to the White House, anything now seems possible in the political world.
Six months hence, Marine Le Pen, the leader of France's Front National (FN), will be within reach of the presidency.It's a possibility that Le Pen is not alone in
trumpeting, following Britain's surprise vote to leave the European Union and Trump's equally surprising US victory earlier this month. Last week, incumbent French Prime Minister Manuel Valls
acknowledged that the FN leader could be elected the French republic's new president when the country goes to the polls during April-May next year.
The 48-year-old Le Pen, a trained lawyer, is hoping that her bid for Élysée Palace will tap into the zeitgeist of what she calls a
"popular uprising against ruling elites".Her chances of becoming head of state in the EU's second largest member after Germany has just received a further boost from the
expected nomination of Francois Fillon as presidential candidate of the center-right Les Republicains party. Fillon is way ahead of his party rival Alain Juppé in the nomination process, which concludes this coming weekend.
While Fillon has adopted Le Pen's agenda of tougher immigration controls, there is a gulf of difference on economic issues, as well as on France's relation to the EU bloc.
Fillon, a prime minister under former President Nicolas Sarkozy (2007-2012), is an economic neoliberal hawk. He proudly
claims the late British premier Margaret Thatcher as one of his ideological mentors. Fillon is promising to slash public service jobs and budgets, while also gutting French labor laws to remove statutory caps on maximum working hours and to increase the retirement age.
It is hard to conceive of a more politically tone-deaf candidate for the presidency. This year France has seen months of massive public protests against the very hardline austerity measures that Fillon is advocating.
So, while his tough rhetoric on clamping down on immigration and his socially conservative opposition to gay marriage might appeal to some citizens on the political right, Marine Le Pen appears to be more in tune with concerns of the broader electorate. Those concerns are motivated by economic insecurity and loss of democratic accountability in an era of seemingly implacable financial globalization.
The rise of FN in France and other eurosceptic political parties across Europe is not simply due to xenophobia and racial tensions over immigration.
It is arguably much more about counteracting the excesses of a global oligarchy, which the EU and established political parties have come to embody.Whereas Le Pen wants to follow Britain in quitting the EU altogether to reassert national control over the economy, Fillon has no such ambitions. He is a candidate for globalization and austerity, the very program that has become a totemic hate symbol driving the populist mood for revolt.
The FN has come a long way from its origins when it was considered a bete noire of French and European politics owing to perceived fascist and racist tendencies. Founded in 1993 by Jean-Marie Le Pen, father of Marine, the party would never receive mainstream media coverage. Now it does.
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