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Russia has become the key to future development in Asia

Putin
As serious problems emerge with the further development of China's ultra-ambitious New Economic Silk Road, the formally named Belt, Road Initiative (BRI) the Russian Federation, especially in the wake of Washington's mis-named trade war, is finding a positive role that could serve to change the entire dynamic of East Asian and Eurasian economic development. Depending on how it proceeds, it could help China to make necessary corrections to its current BRI development model and even benefit the development of the United States in a peaceful way. Here are some factors to consider.

Since Chinese President Xi Jinping formally proposed his BRI project in Kazakhstan in 2013 the project has undergone a huge advance across many countries from Pakistan to Malaysia to Africa. The original rather vague concept has been greatly expanded with creation of numerous state-tied think tanks in China proposing this or that new element. A major problem, however, has become evident in recent months in several BRI partner countries where China seems to have pursued its own project concepts such as in Malaysia, without due consideration for the needs of the partner country, sometimes leaving them with unpayable debts.

The BRI is one of the truly transforming ideas for rebuilding our debt-bloated world economy in a productive way. If that is to happen, it cannot be a mere repeat of the Anglo-American IMF model, "with Chinese characteristics." Here is where recent initiatives of Russia's Putin government could provide a major recalibration. The recent ASEAN meeting is instructive in this regard.

Eagle

George Galloway: Another Crimean war brewing as NATO provocations enter Russian seas

Bulgarian navy frigate
© Reuters / Stoyan Nenov
A missile launched from the Bulgarian navy frigate "Drazki" during BREEZE 2014 military drill in the Black Sea
A new Crimean War would be the last, but few amongst the general public realize that endless baiting of Russia, the cycle of war games, sanctions, and false accusations could well lead to all-out war between NATO and Russia.

"Half a league, half a league, half a league onward, into the Valley of Death rode the six hundred," - Alfred Lord Tennyson

The last time Britain fought Russia, we were the most powerful empire in the history of the world and our adversary a ramshackle obscurantist autocracy. The British suffered over forty thousand dead and wounded. It was the first modern war - red in tooth and claw - predating the American Civil War, which is often awarded that dubious honor. The terrible suffering of the British (and French) soldiers, virtually none of whom even had the right to vote for the parliament which ruled "their" empire, began to be unpopular at home. Tennyson's braggadocio ballad "The Charge of the Light Brigade" gave rise to the first whispers of doubt amongst British people generally as to whether our soldiers were lions led by donkeys, into one valley of death after another. Theirs not to reason why, theirs but to do and die.

Comment: Well, it looks like the US has been encouraging more chaos from Kiev - and now they've got it.

See also: Where is The Logic in Ukraine Provoking Russia?


Jet5

UK cozies up with Saudi Arabia for joint air combat drills

Saudi Arabia fighter jets
© AFP 2016/ FAYEZ NURELDINE
London has sent its airpower and servicemen for a joint drill with Saudi Arabia, despite international pressure to wind down military cooperation with Riyadh after the Khashoggi murder and amid its devastating war in Yemen.

Around 200 Royal Air Force (RAF) servicemen and eight Typhoon jets are now in Saudi Arabia taking part in a 'pre-planned' Green Flag exercise to help the Royal Saudi Air Forces (RSAF) maintain its combat readiness.

"The British Royal Air Force aims to integrate all combat systems, including air combat, air support and electronic warfare, and especially how to use them against the enemy's land defense systems for maximum operational efficiency," Major General Haidar bin Rafie Al-Omari of the RSAF said on Monday.


Bad Guys

Where is The Logic in Ukraine Provoking Russia?

Ukrainian vessel seized Russia
Russia has seized three Ukrainian military vessels violating its territory near Russia's newly completed Crimean Bridge. The incident is a clear provocation carried out by Kiev and possibly engineered by Kiev's Western sponsors - particularly those in Washington and London.

Ukrainian military vessels are in fact permitted to pass from the Black Sea into the Sea of Azov provided they notify Russian authorities beforehand. The Sea of Azov - according to a joint agreement signed by Kiev and Moscow in 2003 - is considered internal waters of both Ukraine and Russia.

With the completion of the Crimean Bridge connecting Russian Crimea to the rest of Russian territory across the Strait of Kerch, security measures have understandably increased.

Briefcase

Dumping the dollar: Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union increased settlements in local currencies to 70% in first half of 2018

EEU settlements national currencies
© Getty
Member states of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) increased the share settlements in local currencies to 70 percent in the first half of 2018, First Deputy Chief of the Russian Government Staff Sergey Prikhodko said on Tuesday.

"In the first six months of the current year, the share of settlements in national currencies between the members of the EEU exceeded 70 percent," he said prior to a visit by Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev.

"The further growth of the figure will be achieved via ensuring macroeconomic and financial stability, creating of a common financial market, and harmonization of legislative control over the financial sector," Prikhodko added.

According to the top official, the bulk of the settlements in local currencies accounts for trade with Russia and is implemented via rubles. Opportunities for increasing the share of such settlements mainly depend on developing trade ties between the member countries of the alliance, he said.

Comment: Washington's belligerence is wearing rather thin and countries are responding by wisely taking steps to protect themselves from the inevitable collapse of the dollar:


Jet2

Checkmate: Along with S-300 and S-400, SU-57s sent a clear message to US, Israel, say analysts

SU-57 jet
© Sputnik/Vladimir Astapkovich
SU-57
Despite the Russian Defence Ministry's clarifications, Western media are still racking their brain over the Su-57 fifth-generation jets' mission in Syria. Speaking to Sputnik, political observers of Syrian origin shed light on the message the Russian-made Su-57, S-300 and S-400 have sent to the US and Israel in the Arab Republic.

The Russian Su-57 fifth-generation stealth fighters have once again become the focus of special attention following the release of unique footage of the aircraft's mission in Syria and Zvezda TV channel's new video featuring a pair of Sukhoi Su-57 performing a synchronized landing.

Sputnik reached out to political observers of Syrian origin Ghassan Kadi and Christopher Assad, asking them to share their views on what message the much-discussed stealth aircraft sends to the US-led coalition in Syria.

The Su-57 Manoeuvres in Syria

On 1 March, 2018, the Russian Ministry of Defence (MoD) confirmed that the Su-57 jets had been tested in Syria, specifying that the mission had taken place in February 2018. Having noted that Su-57 crews had made over 10 sorties in Syria, the ministry elaborated that the mission was "carried out in order to prove announced possibilities of the newest aircraft in real combat environment."

On 19 November, the MoD released footage of the Su-57's manoeuvres in the Syrian Arab Republic, prompting a lively discussion in the American media. The Drive's Joseph Trevithick raised the question as to what other tasks the Su-57 crews conducted in the Arab Republic during their "absurdly short trip to Syria."

According to Kadi, besides accomplishing the tasks voiced by the MoD, the jets could go to Syria "to taunt the US radar system in Syria, and they succeeded in evading detection." He remarked that "this is the kind of news that the US is not prepared to divulge, and one that the Russian MoD does not need to publicize over and beyond the knowledge of the 'American partner'."


Comment: Russia's technological lead is daunting and its warnings are self-evident.


Key

To unlock the diplomatic mysteries behind the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, take a look at Syria

Rebels Syria
© Reuters
The Saudis would surely be making a sacrifice for all of us to take on so onerous a burden as the desert imprisonment of the Isis and Nusrah legions inside the kingdom itself.
Where should the Sunni Islamist fighters of Idlib go? Since their money and their weapons come from the Sunni Gulf, and since their Wahhabi Sunni faith was inspired by the very same creed which governs the Saudi monarchy, what better location for their future welfare than one of Saudi Arabia's vast sandpits?

The Saudis are going to get away with it. Muhammad bin Salman, too. They may pay a price - we'll travel in that direction later - but they remain the "vision of light" against Iran's "vision of darkness", in the words of Saudi Arabia's ever more egregious foreign minister.

We are all, alas, making the same old Middle East mistake: of thinking that the bad guys will get overthrown or punished for their murders and transgressions and that the good guys (whoever they may be) will come out on top.


Comment: Well, if the world is to be seen in Manichean terms, then Syria, Iran, Hezbollah, and the Houthis are the good guys.


Target

The overwhelming silence of Mueller's Trump-Russia 'canaries'

The canaries
© CQ-Roll Call/Josh Roberts/Reuters/Win McNamee/Getty Images/KJN
No evidence has surfaced indicating that President Trump colluded with Russia to steal the 2016 election. Still, two years later, the president's opponents insist the truth is out there and they know where - in the memory banks and computer files of Trump's former associates who have struck deals to cooperate with Special Counsel Robert Mueller.

But people with direct knowledge of the situation say the premise of that speculation is false: It's highly unlikely that these associates possess proof of collusion and are singing about it to Mueller. "It's wishful thinking by Trump haters," said a former Trump campaign official who has been the subject of investigation.

Mueller has obtained guilty pleas from four ex-Trump advisers - Michael Flynn, George Papadopoulos, Paul Manafort and Rick Gates - for crimes unrelated to election espionage. Facing the prospect of a lengthy prison sentence, each had strong incentives to turn on the president.

So, too, do other Trump associates reportedly caught in Mueller's crosshairs - Carter Page, Roger Stone and the president's former lawyer, Michael Cohen, who has pleaded guilty to crimes referred by Mueller's office to federal attorneys in Manhattan for prosecution.

Mueller has clamped down on leaks from his office, so it is hard to determine exactly what he has extracted from the witnesses. Nevertheless, substantial information gleaned from various sources by RealClearInvestigations and other news outlets suggests that Trump's former associates have not provided the smoking gun of collusion. As emboldened Democrats promise to step up their own Russia investigations when they take over the House in January, here is what we know so far about each case.

Comment: A million dollars per month...the cost of finding nothing - over and over again.


Calendar

Trump scheduled to meet Putin at G20, but not MBS

Trump Putin
© Reuters/Leonhard Foeger
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, Helsinki
US President Donald Trump will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin at this week's G20 summit in Buenos Aires. Trump will not, however, meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

In a schedule full of meetings with world leaders, Trump is pencilled in to talk with Putin, National Security Advisor John Bolton told reporters on Tuesday. Explaining the absence of a meeting with bin Salman, Bolton simply said that Trump's schedule is "full to overflowing."

Trump's meeting with Putin looks set to build on the leaders' summit in Helsinki this summer, with many of the same issues on the table. According to Bolton, the two leaders will discuss "security issues, arms control, and regional issues, including the Middle East." The recent flare-up of tensions between Russia and Ukraine is "sure" to be discussed, he added.

What could be more noteworthy, however, is the lack of a meeting with the Saudi Crown Prince. The murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi has strained relations between Riyadh and much of the world, and has focused attention on Trump's insistence on standing by the Saudis, despite calls for sanctions from lawmakers in the US.

Comment: What would Putin do or have done, regarding MBS, if roles were reversed?


Snakes in Suits

German populist leader Bystron slams Merkel for UN migrant pact deception

MP Petr Bystron
© Qwiket
AFD MP Petr Bystron and Chancellor Angela Merkel
The German government has deceived the public, the leader of the nation's populist opposition party told Breitbart London, as internal documents from the Federal Foreign Office reveal that Angela Merkel's government has been the main architect of the controversial UN migrant pact.

The document, which was highlighted by populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) MP Petr Bystron and can be downloaded from the German government's website, shows the Federal Foreign Office taking credit for the UN migrant pact, claiming they had worked on the agreement as early as 2016.

According to the Foreign Office, the German government has been behind both the Global Compact on Refugees and the Global Compact on Migration, saying that while neither are legally binding they were both designed to be "politically binding."

Comment: Merkel is a useful tool, likely a willing one.
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