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Fri, 05 Nov 2021
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Really? Trump is giving up on regime change in Venezuela because it's complicated and he got 'bored' former insider reports

bolton Trump
© Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
Trump speaks to the press while warmonger Bolton lurks in the background
President Donald Trump is losing interest in Venezuela after a bid to oust President Nicolás Maduro by US-backed opposition figures in April failed, according to The Washington Post.

In April, a US-backed bid by the Venezuelan opposition to remove Maduro failed, when senior Venezuelan government and military officials reneged on promises to switch sides and instead stood by the president.

According to US officials who spoke with The Post, Trump had viewed the prospect of a US-backed toppling of Maduro as an "easy win" at a time when other foreign-policy initiatives had stalled.

Comment: Bored? Or Trump recognizing that he was misled by the neocon advisors who told him the Venezuela debacle would be a good idea. No matter. Bolton, Pompeo et al. have given him a new headache with the drone shootdown in Iran.They are determined to get themselves a war, and don't seem to be particular about its location. The neocons have many hotspots they could activate.


Attention

Iran and US officials attend a Russian Security Forum but nobody is talking about it

Iran and US flags
The tenth international meeting on security has just concluded in the Russian the city of Ufa. The forum has been under-reported, but it represents one of the few global examples of multilateral meetings between high-level representatives of countries that are in conflict. Hundreds of representatives from as many as 120 countries attended the meeting over three days to discuss humanitarian crises, hybrid warfare, terrorist threats and ways to recover from armed conflict.

President Putin's opening speech was read aloud by Russian Security Council chief Nikolai Patrushev, which explained the forum's agenda and objectives, namely, to create a positive atmosphere that should succeed in reducing various areas of tension between countries around the globe.

"I expect your communication to be substantial and fruitful, and will help achieve our common goal of creating a reliable, flexible, indivisible and equal for all security system at the regional and global level. US exit from arms reduction treaties undermines global security. This forum has fully proved to be in demand and effective, ensuring a dialogue on countering global challenges. The meeting's agenda addresses problems requiring joint solutions and collective action, overcoming the consequences of armed conflict and humanitarian problems, as well as ensuring information security."

Bizarro Earth

A trip through Crazyland this week

crazy ugly americans america
© Pokket Mowse
Surfing the cable channels the evening before my Friday a.m. blog duties, I came upon Sean Hannity at Fox News completely losing his shit in a colloquy with Geraldo Rivera about the Iran drone incident. "Bomb the crap out of them!" Mr. Hannity ranted, several times, the veins in his neck throbbing visibly on the high-def screen. I thought I was having an acid flashback to Doctor Strangelove. Geraldo himself seemed a bit nonplussed and embarrassed by Mr. Hannity's tantrum, but his attempts to calm down the raving anchorman only ramped up the hysteria. One wondered: are there any adult producers off-screen on that network?

Perhaps the Golden Golem of Greatness, our president, who is also known to follow the Cable TV news, witnessed the cringeworthy incident and realized that every other head-of-state on this nervous planet would also see it, and might infer he was doing the bidding of a crazed boob-tube performer if he actually went forward with an air strike. Earlier, he'd told reporters, "You'll soon find out," what the USA's response to the drone shoot-down would be. He should have just kept his mouth shut. Planes and ships were on their way to the bottleneck in the Persian Gulf known as the Straits of Hormuz. Before they could deliver any payloads, Mr. Trump called the whole thing off suggesting that maybe some "loose and stupid" Colonel Borat type on Iran's side had gone rogue in the incident.

Blackbox

Democracy? Putin says it's odd that UK's PM is elected by 'his party's get-together' but we'll work with anyone

Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt
© BBC/Handout via REUTERS
It's "odd" that the UK Prime Minister comes to power after a closed-door vote within his own party and not through a nationwide election, but Moscow is ready to work with anyone who will end up in Number 10, Vladimir Putin said.

While the UK loves lecturing Russia on democracy, the peculiarities of its own political system may raise more than a few eyebrows, Putin told Rossyia-1 broadcaster on Saturday. "Take the way the first man in the country, the head of the UK's executive branch, is propelled to power," he offered.

"[Is he elected] in a nationwide vote? No, [he is elected] by his party's get-together. Truth be told, this is strange to me but this is how the [British electoral] system works."

Snakes in Suits

Creepy Biden's campaign faces more fallout from son's messy personal life, business deals

Joe Biden
Aside from Joe Biden's seemingly self-inflicted controversies, the campaign of the Democratic Party's 2020 presidential frontrunner is also facing questions about the messy personal life and shady business activities of the candidate's son, Hunter Biden.

The 49-year-old offspring of the former vice president made more headlines this week after the New York Post reported that an Arkansas woman says Hunter is the father of her child.

Previously this month, the son made news after he married a South African woman, whom he reportedly had only recently met, just months after splitting from Hallie Biden, the widow of his brother Beau, who died in 2015.

Chess

EU leaders warn next British PM there will be 'no Brexit renegotiation'

Brexit
© AP
Pro-Brexit leave the European Union supporters attend a rally in Parliament Square after the final leg of the "March to Leave" in London
The EU's leaders Friday fired a Brexit warning to whoever wins the battle to become the next British prime minister, insisting the existing divorce deal will not be changed.

Hot favourite Boris Johnson faces foreign minister Jeremy Hunt in a run-off vote to decide who takes on the tricky task of piloting the country's departure from the EU.

Both say they want to renegotiate the deal that outgoing PM Theresa May struck with Brussels after two years of painful negotiation -- a deal which British lawmakers have rejected three times.

Chess

Explaining Russia's position on Idlib

putin assad idlib
© AFP Photo
Russia has troops on the ground around Idlib province in northwest Syria.
Over the past five years my work in the information space has been consciously aimed at explaining why the Russian military does and doesn't do certain things, whether it be in relation to Ukraine, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Venezuela, etc, and why demanding that Putin bombs everything in sight is exactly what the CIA wants so-called "pro-Russians" to say. Yet I haven't exhausted (maybe I never will exhaust it?) this topic because it is so vast and, ultimately, complex. And it is because of this seemingly insurmountable complexity that questions like "Why doesn't Russia liberate all of Ukraine", "Why doesn't Russia save Donetsk and Lugansk in the same way it saved Crimea?", "Why doesn't Russia boot America out of Syria?", etc are asked on social media.

But one statement that I haven't really addressed (until now) is "Why doesn't Russia liberate all of Idlib in one fell swoop?". Many "geniuses" like to say that Putin is in bed with the "Ottoman butcher" Erdogan and has thus "betrayed Syria", similar to how shaking hands with Netanyahu means that Putin is a Zionist and has "betrayed Syria", or even that a visit of the Saudi King to Moscow means that Putin has the blood of Yemen on his hands.

Comment: See also: And check out SOTT radio's: NewsReal: Israeli-French Deception Downs Russian Spy Plane Off Syria, US Escalates 'Regime Change' Against Iran


Black Magic

Pepe Escobar: Brazilgate is turning into Russiagate 2.0

Moro

Brazilian Judge Sergio Moro gestures as he leaves the house of Brazilian President-elect Jair
The Intercept's bombshell about Brazilian corruption is being ludicrously spun by the country's media and military as a "Russian conspiracy," writes Pepe Escobar

It was a leak, not a hack. Yes: Brazilgate, unleashed by a series of game-changing bombshells published by The Intercept, may be turning into a tropical Russiagate.

The Intercept's Deep Throat - an anonymous source - has finally revealed in detail what anyone with half a brain in Brazil already knew: that the judicial/lawfare machinery of the one-sided Car Wash anti-corruption investigation was in fact a massive farce and criminal racket bent on accomplishing four objectives.

Comment: See also:


Laptop

Cyber-sleuths responsible for Russiagate now warn of 'Iranian hackers'

hacker
© REUTERS/Kacper Pempel
Iranian hackers are threatening US computer systems, cybersecurity firms FireEye and CrowdStrike have claimed, just as tensions between Washington and Tehran pulled back from the brink of war.

"Really, we're seeing increased cyber activity that seems to be focused on the West," Adam Meyers, vice president of intelligence at CrowdStrike, told Politico. "In early June, mid-June is when it really started to kick off."

Ben Read, senior cyber-espionage analyst at FireEye, confirmed the timeline and told the paper that the latest campaign is led by a government-connected Iranian hacker group known as APT33 or "Refined Kitten."


Comment: See also:


Rocket

Iran shoots down US Global Hawk, reportedly over Iranian territory - UPDATES

Northrop Grumman Triton spy drone
Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed Thursday they shot down a US drone in the southern province of Hormozgan.

State news agency IRNA quoted the Guard's news website, Sepah News, as saying that the Islamic country's military force targeted the RQ-4 Global Hawk drone when it entered Iran's airspace "near the Kouhmobarak district in the south."

General Hossein Salami, the commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard, said the incident sent "a clear message" to the US, adding that Iran does "not have any intention for war with any country, but we are ready for war."

Responding swiftly to the Iranian claim, the US military said it had not violated Iranian airspace on Wednesday.

Comment: Further updates from RT:
A US Central Command (CENTCOM) statement acknowledged that one of its naval surveillance UAV's was indeed hit on Wednesday night. Tehran said that the device had been spying over southern Iran at the time of the interception, but CENTCOM said this was "false."

[...]

Earlier, the head of Iran's elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said the Iranian action had sent a "clear message" to Washington about its military posturing in the region. Iran also warned the US against crossing "a red line" and vowed to take all necessary steps to protect the country.

According to the IRGC, the drone was flying with its tracking equipment switched off at the time, violating international aviation regulations.
"The drone took off from a US base in the southern Persian Gulf," according to a statement by the elite unit. While in the air, the US allegedly attempted to make the drone appear invisible to radar.

It had turned off all its identifying equipment in violation of aviation rules and was moving in full secrecy.

Earlier, Tehran said its air defenses had shot down a US RQ-4 Global Hawk reconnaissance drone overnight, after it illegally entered Iranian airspace over southern Iran.
Trump's response is lame. And John Bolton is on his way to Israel to learn what he should do next:
Amid disputes over the authenticity of reports that Iran shot down a US drone, US President Donald Trump tweeted early Thursday with a clear message: "Iran made a very big mistake!"

Washington claims that the surveillance drone was in international airspace at the time that it was brought down, while Tehran says it was spying on southern Iran.

An unnamed US official told Reuters that the debris field from the US military drone was located in the international waters area of the Strait of Hormuz. They also confirmed that US Navy vessels are en route to investigate.

"US drone intrusion into Iranian airspace is in clear violation of the UN Charter and national sovereignty of the country," Chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh, said Thursday, while urging his government to file a formal complaint with the UN.

Falahatpisheh accused the US of breaching Chapter seven of the UN Charter and that its drone operations constituted a hostile move against the national security and sovereignty of Iran.
US President Donald Trump has not ruled out an air strike against Iran in retaliation for the shooting down of a US Navy drone. The US military insists the drone was over international waters, but Iran says this is false.

Asked if the US was considering a retaliatory strike, Trump told reporters at the White House, "You'll soon find out."

"I have a feeling... that it was a mistake made by somebody who shouldn't have been doing what they did," Trump said about the incident, speaking after a meeting with Canadian PM Justin Trudeau.


If he was referring to someone within the US then he'd be right.


"I find it hard to believe that it was intentional," he added. "It could have been somebody who was loose and stupid."

John Bolton, Trump's hawkish national security adviser who has pushed for a hard-line policy on Iran, is on his way to Israel to discuss "regional security" with US allies in the Middle East, the White House said.

John Bolton, Trump's hawkish national security adviser who has pushed for a hard-line policy on Iran, is on his way to Israel to discuss "regional security" with US allies in the Middle East, the White House said.

Trump denied that members of his administration were pushing him towards war, saying that he wanted to end "endless wars" like Afghanistan and not get into new ones, just like he said during the 2016 campaign - but Iran shooting down the US drone is "a new wrinkle... a new fly in the ointment."

Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif has accused the US of waging "economic terrorism" and covert action against his country, and now encroaching on its territory.

"We don't seek war, but will zealously defend our skies, land & waters."

Tensions between Washington and Tehran have been rising for the past several months, with the US sending additional troops to the region and blaming Tehran for attacks on several oil tankers in international waters. Iran has rejected the accusations.
Video footage of the shoot-down published by the Iranian military:





Trump has climbed down from months of fighting talk in the most ridiculous way possible:

"It's hard to believe it was intentional, if you want to know the truth," he added. He suggested it could have been carried out by someone who was acting "loose and stupid" and characterized the incident as "a new wrinkle...a new fly in the ointment."
Major-General Hossein Salami of the IRGC called this Iran's "clear message" to the U.S. of their readiness to react to any aggression on the part of the Americans:
"The downing of the American drone was a clear message for [the United States of America] ... our borders are the red line of Iran and we will react strongly against any aggression," Fars news agency quotes Salami as saying.

At the same time, Salami said his country "is not seeking war" against other nations, but is ready to defend itself.
The Pentagon released its version of the flight path, claiming the drone never entered Iranian airspace:


It differs from the Iranian version only near the end of the flight path:
In the US photo, the drone retraced its easterly flight on a return trip, but in the Iranian version, the drone cuts much closer to the Iranian coast over the Gulf of Oman, during which time it would have been in Iranian territory.
Iran's ambassador to the UN sent it a letter restating that the drone conducted its flight "in full stealth mode as it had turned off its identification equipment and engaged in a clear spying operation."
"When the [US] aircraft was returning towards the western parts of the region near the Strait of Hormuz, despite repeated radio warnings, it entered into the Iranian airspace where the air defense system of the Islamic Republic of Iran, acting under Article 51 of the United Nations Charter, targeted the intruding aircraft at 04:05 hours local time on the same date at the coordinates N255943 and E570225 near the Kouh-e Mobarak region in the central district of Jask in the Islamic Republic of Iran", Ravanchi said in the letter.

"The international community is called upon to demand the United States to put an end to its continued unlawful and destabilizing measures in the already volatile region of the Persian Gulf", Ravanchi stressed.

"This is not the first provocative act by the United States against Iran's territorial integrity. It is reminded that in all such cases, the Islamic Republic of Iran has officially protested to the U.S. through its interests section in the Embassy of Switzerland in Tehran", the ambassador said.
Several ranking US senators are calling for a 'response':
"Iran directly attacked a United States asset over international waters. This provocation comes a week after they attacked and destroyed two commercial tankers in international waters. There must be a measured response to these actions", McCarthy and Representatives Michael McCaul, Mac Thornberry and Devin Nunes said in a joint statement.
This tweet sums it all up beautifully:



Updates 21 June

In reaction to the drone being shot down, the FAA has prohibited all American operators from flying over Iranian airspace - the suggestion being Iran could shoot down an airliner next.

US media is reporting today that the Pentagon 'almost' retaliated against Iran with airstrikes, but that Trump cancelled authorization at the last-minute when he learned Iranian casualties would like number around 150 people. That makes him look merciful, but it's more likely that they could not be sure Iran wouldn't escalate the situation further. Iran is NOT Syria...

Meanwhile, Iran's deputy foreign minister Seyyed Abbas Araqchi said in a phone call with the Swiss envoy, Markus Leitner, whose country represents the US interests in the Islamic Republic, that "there [is] indisputable evidence about the presence of this drone in Iran's airspace." In the phone call, Araqchi also urged Washington to respect Iran's borders, both aerial and maritime, telling Leitner "the Islamic Republic of Iran would not hesitate for a moment to decisively defend its territory against any aggression."

The commander of the Iranian Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Brigadier General Hajizadeh, claims that the downing of a US drone was a warning to an American military aircraft that was flying alongside its UAV and that Iran refrained from targeting the American plane with 35 on board.

On Friday afternoon, the Iranian military showcased the wreckage of the US drone:


Also, Iran has denied the US claim that they sent 'fair warning' ahead of 'nearly' bombing that country in retaliation...

See also: