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George Friedman
Welcome to Stratfor, the brainchild of George Friedman, a Texas academic and sometime U.S. government consultant, who became an intelligence entrepreneur and runs what the press routinely calls "a private CIA" out of an office building in downtown Austin. In a crowded market where
The New York Times can't successfully charge for premium content, Friedman's thriving business targets a key market niche: corporate types with geopolitical exposure who are too busy or too ill-informed to use Google.
"Controlling costs but without skimping on quality" is the secret to the McDonald's-like commercial success of Stratfor, Friedman explains during a break from his New York book tour. "The secret is the division of labor: we have people who collect intelligence, people who analyze intelligence, and people who write," he says. "It's designed to give the subscriber a consistent product." Friedman is promoting an exercise in futurology titled
The Next 100 Years - it's the book you get free with your $349 - that teems with counter-intuitive assertions, for example, that Poland will become Europe's great power by the middle of this century. Poland? I spent some time in the country a few years ago, pitching the Polish finance ministry on sovereign debt issues for Credit Suisse. You could have fooled me.
Friedman and I meet in the bar of a New York hotel, where I sip a cappuccino while Friedman drinks white wine. He checks the label of the bottle of house white burgundy with the eager eye of a man who has recently traded up to the good stuff from academic plonk. With his diminutive frame, wide mouth, and pedantic smile, he reminds me of Yoda, but without the Eastern European grammar. The child of Holocaust survivors who fled the Communist regime in Hungary, Friedman attended public schools in New York and put in 20 years teaching at middling colleges with side gigs consulting for the defense community. His children are yeshiva-educated, and two of them are serving as officers in the U.S. military.
Does being Jewish affect the way you view the world, I begin. "Being Jewish keeps things in perspective," he says, smiling. "We lost two temples."
Comment: The problem of Iran kowtowing to US demands, even if fulfilled, is that the edicts from Israel will never be satisfied. The US is Israel's mouthpiece and hammer. Iran must make its deal with Israel...and that will never, ever happen!