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New Studies Show Pundits Are Wrong About Russian Social-Media Involvement in US Politics

facebook ads congress
© Reuters / Aaron Bernstein
Facebook ads linked to a Russian effort to disrupt the US political process are displayed as Facebook executives appear before the House Intelligence Committee on November 1, 2017.
Far from being a sophisticated propaganda campaign, it was small, amateurish, and mostly unrelated to the 2016 election.

The release of two Senate-commissioned reports has sparked a new round of panic about Russia manipulating a vulnerable American public on social media. Headlines warn that Russian trolls have tried to suppress the African-American vote, promote Green Party candidate Jill Stein, recruit "assets," and "sow discord" or "hack the 2016 election" via sex-toy ads and Pokémon Go. "The studies," writes David Ignatius of The Washington Post, "describe a sophisticated, multilevel Russian effort to use every available tool of our open society to create resentment, mistrust and social disorder," demonstrating that the Russians, "thanks to the Internet...seem to be perfecting these dark arts." According to Michelle Goldberg of The New York Times, "it looks increasingly as though" Russian disinformation "changed the direction of American history" in the narrowly decided 2016 election, when "Russian trolling easily could have made the difference."

The reports, from the University of Oxford's Computational Propaganda Research Project and the firm New Knowledge, do provide the most thorough look at Russian social-media activity to date. With an abundance of data, charts, graphs, and tables, coupled with extensive qualitative analysis, the authors scrutinize the output of the Internet Research Agency (IRA) the Russian clickbait firm indicted by special counsel Robert Mueller in February 2018. On every significant metric, it is difficult to square the data with the dramatic conclusions that have been drawn.

Comment: See also:


Target

Brexit unleashes a British bulldog snarling at Russia

bulldog brexitch
© Cortés
Brexitch
Britain is dispatching some 1,000 marines to join NATO war exercises off Norway in "a show of strength to Russia". The move is but one of several military muscles being flexed by Britain in a bid to boost its international standing. Russia is designated as the convenient villain to justify Britain's renewed militarism.

To lend the madness some popular appeal, British media reported that "Prince Harry will join one of ­Britain's biggest war exercises against Russia in 20 years, as a warning to Vladimir Putin over his continued aggression."

Harry (34), the youngest son of heir to the British crown, Prince Charles, is said to be privy to secret battle plans taking place in Norway over the next 12 weeks "as the marines practice drills in a show of strength against potential military strikes by ­Moscow."

Russia's embassy in Britain dismissed the exercise involving the young royal as a PR gimmick to fire up public enthusiasm for what is otherwise a hackneyed ploy of provoking tensions with Moscow. "Apparently, the authority of politicians and generals is no longer enough to ensure public support for this policy," it said.

Indeed, a PR stunt is surely what it is going on. And the British media are showing themselves once again to be the disgraceful pro-war stenographers that they are by churning out official assertions of "Russian aggression" and "potential military strikes".

Comment: Last gasp? Britain is using aggression to cover its political ineptitude, financial distress and increasing irrelevance.


X

Still no collusion, indictment of Russian lawyer churns up a 'Trump Tower' twitter frenzy

Natalia Veselnitskaya
© Sputnik/Evgeny Biyatov
Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya
When news broke that Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya was charged with obstruction of justice, all that Western media outlets and #Resistance could hear was 'Trump Tower,' even though the case had nothing to do with it.

Veselnitskaya famously met with several members of then-candidate Donald Trump's campaign in July 2016, including his son Donald Trump Jr, supposedly offering "dirt" on Hillary Clinton. Proponents of the conspiracy theory that Trump "colluded" with Russia to somehow steal the presidency from Hillary Clinton have long claimed this meeting at Trump Tower is key evidence against the current US president.

Major media outlets - not just in the US - therefore made sure to include a "Trump Tower" reference in reporting on Veselnitskaya's indictment, which was filed on December 20 in the Southern District of New York and made public on Tuesday. Only a few bothered to note that the indictment has to do with a totally unrelated case.

The actual complaint against Veselnitskaya alleges that she "well knew but concealed from the court" that she had a hand in drafting a report on the case she was litigating in the US, "in secret cooperation with a senior Russian prosecutor" who was not named. This report, submitted by Russia under the Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty (MLAT) with the US, was then cited by Veselnitskaya in defending the real estate company Prevezon Holdings Ltd. from claims of money laundering by "Investment Company-1."

That company was Hermitage Capital, whose owner Bill Browder gave up his US citizenship in 1998 to avoid paying taxes on billions he was making on shadowy business dealings in Russia.

Comment: Talk about 'grooved' thinking! Like a crazy '8' - all reasoning returns to one central point: the non-starter Trump Tower Meeting.


Newspaper

Word wars: Bolton slams Erdogan's NYT op-ed on US withdrawal from Syria as 'offensive'

Bolton
© Joshua Roberts/Bloomberg
US National Security Advisor John Bolton
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan earlier had an article on the US withdrawal from Syria published in the New York Times. The Turkish president, while describing the Trump's move as "the right call", noted that the withdrawal must be planned "carefully".

US National Security Advisor John Bolton has reportedly told Turkish officials that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's article, which was published on 7 January 2019, was wrong and offensive.

Bolton, who is currently on a tour of the Middle East attempting to convince US regional partners that they won't leave them to fend for themselves in the fight against Daesh, noted that Washington would oppose any mistreatment by Turkish forces of its Kurdish allies in Syria, Reuters reported, citing an unnamed senior US official.

John Bolton didn't believe that he had been disregarded due to the Turkish president's refusal to meet with him, as plans for bilateral talks had not been confirmed in advance, the unnamed US senior official said.

Previously, Erdogan, while commenting on Bolton's statement regarding a possible Turkish operation against Kurdish forces, criticized him by saying that Turkey could never compromise on the issue of the Kurdish YPG militia, as, according to the president, they had never actually fought against Daesh.

Comment: Bolton and Erdogan - sure to bring out the best in each other and provide rich pickings for such news rags as the New York Times. Meanwhile, the Kurds are bypassing these two hotheads to negotiate directly with Damascus.
See also: Erdogan: Bolton made a 'serious mistake'; Ankara refuses to swallow his comments on Syria's Kurds


Propaganda

Kremlin jokes: Don't read Israeli media's rumors of Russian meddling to keep 'tyrant Bibi' in power!

Netanyahu
© AIPAC
Israeli media outlets are awash with speculation that Moscow is preparing to meddle in April's parliamentary election to help Benjamin Netanyahu stay in power. The Kremlin advised ignoring these reports.

The speculation was started by Nadav Argaman, the head of the Israeli domestic security agency Shin Bet, who said Monday that a foreign power is preparing to interfere with the snap parliamentary election scheduled in April. The warning came during an event hosted by Friends of Tel Aviv University, but the broadcast was partially redacted by the Israeli military censor.

"I can't say at this point for whom or against whom" the intervention will be, "but it involves cyber[attacks] and hacking," Argaman was quoted as saying. He added that he was "100% [certain] that [redacted foreign state] will intervene in the upcoming elections, and I know what I'm talking about, I just don't know in whose favor."

The speech was attended by a large crowd, which makes the effort of keeping the identity of the foreign nation secret seemingly pointless. Censorship-restrained Israeli media resorted to referring to accusations against Russia in the 2016 election in the US or a report by Israeli security firms on how Russia could interfere in Israel to fill in the gap.

Comment: Accusing Russia is the Western diversion of 'Look there, not here'.


Binoculars

Iraqi MP: Israeli intel forces spotted amongst US troops in Iraq

US in Iraq again
© Reuters/Ammar Awad
US military returning to Iraq
A senior Iraqi lawmaker disclosed that Israel's intelligence forces have arrived in Baghdad along with the US troops, media reports said.

"Israel's intelligence forces have been witnessed patrolling with the US troops in Baghdad," the Arabic-language al-Maloumeh news website quoted member of the Iraqi Parliament's National Security and Defense Committee Karim Alivi Javish as saying.

Alivi Javish reiterated that the Iraqi Parliament's National and Defense Committee will probe the US troops' presence in the Iraqi capital. A report said last Friday that the US troops patrolled together with Baghdad Operations Commander patrolled in the Iraqi capital.

In a relevant development on Sunday, the Iraqi sources reported that Washington has deployed large groups of soldiers in Western Iraq a number of its military forces who were earlier stationed in Syria.

The sources were quoted by Russia's RT news channel as saying that dozens of US troops stationed in Syria have relocated to Ein al-Assad base in al-Anbar province in Western Iraq.
"Reports that the US forces who have left Syria are now stationed in Erbil in Iraqi Kurdistan region are not all true. A major part of these forces have gone to Ein al-Assad base in al-Anbar province and a number of others have been deployed in the military bases in other Iraqi provinces."
According to the sources, the US forces are still stationed at the Iraqi-Syrian borders and have not left Syria completely.

Comment: The time to kick the US and Israel out is now, before they are entrenched and create yet another mess.


Mr. Potato

Ayatollah Khamenei: Washington officials are first-class idiots

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
© MEHR news agency
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
The Leader of the Islamic Revolution said on Wednesday that some U.S. officials are "first-class idiots", questioning the sensibility of their failing plots against Iran. Addressing a large gathering of people from the central holy city of Qom, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said the 1979 Islamic Revolution is the main reason behind Washington's deep and lasting hostility toward Iran.

In particular he pointed to a U.S. statesman's promise, in a gathering of "terrorists and thugs" months ago, that they would celebrate New Year 2019 in Tehran. He compared the calculation ability of the U.S. statesmen to former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein who had hoped to conquer Tehran within a week at the beginning of his invasion of Iran in September 1980.

The Leader said the Americans speak gleefully of "strongest sanctions in history" against Iran, "but the Iranian nation will, God willing, make them suffer an unprecedented defeat in history."

He urged steadfastness in the face of the U.S. and Europe's "militarism, bluster, and idle talk," saying, "Neither their threats, nor their words and promises, and not even their signatures are creditworthy."

Star of David

Gaza: Hamas arrests 45 Israeli spies and collaborators linked to botched IDF raid

Hamas-run prison in Gaza City
© Reuters/Mohammed Salem
Hamas-run prison in Gaza City
Dozens of Palestinians, said to have been recruited by Israel, have been arrested by Gaza's Hamas leadership after a botched IDF covert mission in the territory in November, which led to heavy gunfire battles and a tense standoff.

"The security services were able to arrest 45 agents after the security incident east of Khan Yunis last November and they are under investigation," Hamas' interior ministry spokesman Iyad al-Bozum said in a statement, without specifying if those detained had any direct role to play in the Israeli incursion into the Southern Gaza strip on November 11.

The arrested alleged Israeli agents had reportedly been recruited by Israel over the phone and social media, often through the use of blackmail. While Hamas has managed to arrest "many spies" over the years, the Israelis continue to recruit Palestinian agents to "help them commit crimes against our people," the Hamas spokesman said, appealing to those who are being coerced by the IDF to turn themselves in.

The botched IDF mission in Khan Yunis, in which a Hamas commander was killed along with an Israeli lieutenant colonel, initially led to a shootout between the Israeli soldiers and Hamas operatives but quickly escalated into a cross-border battle, described as the most intense since 2014.

Comment: See also:


No Entry

Beyond Kafka: How Youtube & Facebook Keep Purging Speeches of Hassan Nasrallah

Hassan Nasrallah is persona non grata on Social Networks, where Anti-Zionism is the ultimate thoughtcrime

With a comment from Norman Finkelstein
nasrallah

Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Lebanese anti-US-Israel resistance group Hezbollah
The guillotine's blade fell again, one year later. On December 2017 already, my 5-years-old Youtube channel Sayed Hasan, mainly translating speeches from Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, was completely removed by Youtube, along with its 10,000 subscribers, +6 millions views and +400 subtitled videos of anti-Zionist & anti-Imperialist content. I then denounced this censorship in detail in my article Kafka 2.0: How Youtube's Political Censorship is Exercised. And just around New Year's Eve 2019, the +6000 Subscribed Facebook Page Resistance News Unfiltered, along with all its similar content, got deleted without explanation. The only thing left online is a cache view of the page dating back from this summer, in French.
resistance news facebook
I had created this Page at the beginning of 2018, since no other place can compete with Youtube and its near-monopoly on video content, in order to reach a broader audience. But it was deleted without explanation by Facebook short of its first anniversary. I can't even know the precise date of termination. Youtube did at least bother to send emails notifying of the removal of a video or of a whole channel, but Facebook has only internal notifications for posts removals. Here is how it happened.

Bad Guys

The UK Government Manufacture of False Sexual Allegations Against Threats to the State

believe women
I want to give you a concrete example of how the UK government deliberately sets out to manufacture false sexual allegations against people it considers a threat. I do so to educate those who view this concept as an unthinkable "conspiracy theory". I write of a case of which I have expert knowledge; it is my own case.

I became an "enemy of the state" when, as British Ambassador, I protested against UK and US complicity in torture and extraordinary rendition in Uzbekistan. As detailed in Murder in Samarkand, I very quickly found myself suspended and subject to civil service investigation of disciplinary allegations against me, the worst of which was that I extorted sex from visa applicants. Blair's No. 10 quickly leaked this allegation against me to the Daily Mail.

I was in a state of complete shock. I had no idea at all what could have led to such allegations. The Kafkaesque nightmare deepened when I was presented with the evidence against me.