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Pollster Nate Silver hedging on Biden win after Trump draws megacrowds in key state Pennsylvania

FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver
© ABC News
FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver
Last week, pollster Nate Silver was so confident in a Biden win that he suggested the only way Trump is reelected would be through a 'major polling error' or cheating.


This weekend, however, Silver shoehorned a giant caveat into weeks of confidently proclaiming a Biden win: Pennsylvania.

Cow Skull

Blaming Moscow for Hunter Biden's laptop is just more 'Russiagate' disinformation

Ray McGovern
Former intelligence officials, Democratic leaders, and media outlets dismissing the Hunter Biden story as "Russian disinformation" are spreading more Russiagate disinformation, ex-CIA officer Ray McGovern says.

Media outlets are amplifying the claims of former intelligence officials, including John Brennan and James Clapper, as well as of top Democrats, including Joe Biden and Adam Schiff, that the Hunter Biden laptop revelations are "Russian disinformation."

They have done so even though no one from the Biden camp has disputed the authenticity of a single leaked email or document, or denied that the laptop belongs to Hunter Biden. Ray McGovern, a former career CIA officer who served as chief of the CIA's Soviet analysts division and chaired National Intelligence Estimates, discusses the widespread disinformation about "Russian disinformation," and why it raises new questions about the conduct and claims of the intelligence officials behind Russiagate.





Comment: McGovern has clearly lost the plot by voting for Biden as he mentions in the video, but the rest of his analysis holds well.


Comment: Can you believe that after all this time and all the proven lies of Russiagate that have been foisted on the world - that these wanton Deep State crooks are still at it!?

And that the corporate media is still giving them a venue to spout their Big Lies?!

Ridiculous. Incredible. Criminal.


Binoculars

Paramilitary vehicles move to central Minsk as Belarusian capital braces for weekly protest

Belarusian law enforcement officers
© REUTERS / Stringer
Belarusian law enforcement officers are seen near trucks during an opposition rally on October 25.
The Belarusian opposition will hold its weekly anti-government protest on Sunday. The authorities have mobilized dozens of vehicles, including water cannon, setting the scene for a possible crackdown.

Footage published by Belarusian media on Sunday morning showed columns of trucks and armored vehicles moving towards the center of Minsk. The deployment apparently comes in response to opposition plans to hold their latest rally in the Belarusian capital.


Comment: Further to this, the government is closing borders over supposed surge in Covid-19 cases and has recently detained 300 activists.

But looking beyond these very 'bad optics' and the heavy handed tactics of the embattled president, we see that Belarus has been targeted for, and is resisting, a Western-led regime change operation that seeks to gain a NATO-allied neoliberal foothold in order to further encircle Russia:


USA

Biden campaign cancels event in Texas after pro-Trump cars surrounded its bus

trump train
© Reuters / Erin Scott / File Photo
The Biden campaign canceled an event in Texas on Friday after it said a caravan of President Trump's supporters surrounded its bus in vehicles to try to "run it off the road."

The former vice president's campaign said cars pulled in front of its bus on Interstate 35 in the Lone Star State as it was en route to Austin from San Antonio, according to The Washington Post.

The campaign said the cars tried to "stop the bus in the middle of the highway," according to the newspaper.

Comment: Apparently the FBI are investigating.
From New York Post:

FBI investigating 'Trump Train' swarming of Biden bus on Texas interstate: report
Laura Italiano November 1, 2020 | 2:04am

The FBI is investigating a "Trump Train" incident from Friday, in which a Biden campaign bus was surrounded by a dozen pickup trucks driven by Trump supporters as it traveled down a Texas interstate, according to a report.

The dangerous, caught-on-video highway confrontation led the Biden campaign and state Democrats to cancel multiple Texas events in the battleground state, the Texas Tribune reported.

There was least one minor collision on the I-35 between a campaign staffer's car and the caravan of trucks full of flag-waving passengers, according to the Tribune.

Those inside the trucks honked their horns and shouted while surrounding the Biden bus and slowing it down, witnesses told the paper.


Still, the incident was celebrated by President Trump, who tweeted one clip of the confrontation along with his praise: "I LOVE TEXAS!"

The FBI's involvement was confirmed to the Tribune by law enforcement sources, the paper said.

...

But Allen West, a spokesperson for the Texas GOP, dismissed questions from the paper as "more fake news and propaganda," in a statement that concluded, "Prepare to lose ... stop bothering me," the Tribune reported.

Texas congressional candidate Wendy Davis was on the Biden bus at the time it was swarmed, the paper reported.

Friday's incident had been promoted in advance online under the hashtag #FollowTheBus, the paper said.

"Trolling is Fun!" one post said. "Join us in #SanAntonio to escort the Biden bus coming through San Antonio," it urged.

"We are on the bridges & will intercept at Walters/I35!!"

In all, some 40-to-50 vehicles participated, local Biden campaign volunteer Eric Cervini told the paper, describing the trucks decorated with Trump and American flags he saw gathered along the side of the interstate.





Trump trolls again:




Gold Seal

A Biden Presidency Means 'The Return of the Blob'

return of the blob
What happens on November 3rd? It's like a larger than life replay of the famous Hollywood adage: "No one knows anything."

The Dem strategy is crystal clear, spawned by the gaming of election scenarios embedded in the Transition Integrity Project and made even more explicit by one of TIP's co-founders, a law professor at Georgetown University.

Hillary Clinton, bluntly, has already called it: Dems must re-take the White House by any and all means and under any and all circumstances.

And just in case, with a 5,000-word opus, she already positioned herself for a plum job.

As much as Dems have made it very clear they will never accept a Trump victory, the counterpunch was vintage Trump: he told the Proud Boys to "stand back" - as in no violence, for now - but crucially to "stand by", as in "get ready".

The stage is set for Kill Bill mayhem on November 3rd and beyond.

Attention

Tucker Carlson: 'Damning' Hunter Biden documents mysteriously VANISH in transit to Los Angeles - UPDATE: Thumbdrive sent in 'sealed package' found on UPS floor

bobulinski
© Fox News
Tucker Carlson interviews Tony Bobulinski about Hunter and Joe Biden's corrupt dealings with China
An employee at a sorting facility noticed that the package had been opened and arrived empty.

A shipment of "damning" documents linked to Hunter Biden and his father mysteriously disappeared in transit to Los Angeles, Fox News host Tucker Carlson revealed on his show Wednesday night.

"There is always a lot going on that we don't have time to get to on the air," the Tucker Carlson Tonight host told his audience, "but there is something specific going on behind the screens that we did feel like we should tell you about.

"On Monday of this week, we received from a source a collection of confidential documents related to the Biden family," Carlson went on. "We believe they are authentic, they're real and they're damning."

Comment:

UPDATE 29/10/2020: Newsweek is reporting that UPS has located the package:
A UPS spokesperson confirmed that company employees found and identified Carlson's missing parcel by midday on Thursday, less than 24 hours after Carlson said it was missing on Fox News, according to reports from multiple news outlets.

"After an extensive search, we have found the contents of the package and are arranging for its return," the spokesperson reportedly said. "UPS will always focus first on our customers and will never stop working to solve issues and make things right."

During a segment that aired Wednesday as part of his Fox News program, Tucker Carlson Tonight, Carlson said a source sent confidential documents concerning Biden's family to the network at the beginning of the week.

"We believe those documents are authentic, are real and damning," he told viewers, intimating later that the documents pertained to the presidential nominee's son Hunter Biden and his business dealings in China and the Ukraine.

On Wednesday, Carlson recounted Fox producers' efforts to dispatch the Biden documents via a cross-country shipment to California. He did not name the shipping company explicitly during the segment but said that "the Biden documents never arrived in Los Angeles" as planned. He said subsequent correspondence with the mail carrier confirmed the package was stalled at a sorting facility without the documents inside.

"Tuesday morning we received word from the shipping company that our package had been opened and the contents were missing," Carlson said, adding, "Those documents have vanished."

He continued, "As of tonight, the company has no idea and no working theory about what happened to this trove of materials, documents that are directly relevant to the presidential campaign just six days out."

Carlson's remarks about the alleged Biden documents and missing package drew widespread scrutiny, as many wondered why a news organization would risk sending classified documents through the mail before photocopying the pages for safekeeping. Others asked why Fox News would decide to mail the documents when they could have been scanned and sent digitally.

Newsweek reached out to UPS and Fox News for further comment but did not receive replies in time for publication.
Leftwing twitter got going with mockery and advice:



UPDATE 30/10/2020: The Daily Mail further reports on the circumstances of the find:
On his show Thursday night, the Fox News host updated viewers on the saga, a day after revealing that the purportedly damaging documents had been lost on Monday while being shipped from New York to Los Angeles.

Carlson revealed that the documents 'pertaining to the Biden family' were not received from Hunter's ex-business partner Tony Bobulinski, whom he interviewed in LA on Monday. He also said that his producers had made a copy of the files before attempting to ship them.

Though UPS found the lost flash drive, Carlson expressed outrage over the lack of information about how it was lost, saying that two people verified it had been sealed inside a shipping envelope before being dropped off for shipping.

'Unfortunately we still don't know what happened,' Carlson said. 'UPS is a reliable company, they rarely lose anything,' he added. 'And yet they lost our Biden documents. How? UPS won't tell us how.'

Carlson said UPS executives told him on Thursday that an employee at the Manhattan store on 43rd Street had found the flash drive on the floor, and had dropped it on a supervisor's desk.

The executives said the flash drive remained on the desk until Carlson took his complaint public on Wednesday, suggesting that the documents may have been intentionally intercepted.

However, Carlson said that the shipping company refused to offer further details, telling him in a statement: 'There are no more details. Security is returning it. Apologies again that we were unable to deliver it next day at the service level you requested.'

Carlson said it was 'unlikely' that the package was torn open by a machine, something that UPS says almost never happens.

'How did our flash drive get separated from the package it was sealed in?' he demanded to know.

'We are left with the obvious explanation: someone, for some reason, opened our package and removed a flash drive containing documents that were damaging to the Biden family.'

As a side note, Carlson added that he would only report on documents that shed light on the Biden family's business dealings, and Joe Biden's potential role in them, saying he was not interested in airing sordid personal matters.



Arrow Up

President Donald Trump addresses tens of thousands in Butler, PA rally

trump rally butler
© Mandel Ngan / AFP
US President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at Pittsburgh-Butler Regional Airport in Butler, Pennsylvania on October 31, 2020.
President Donald Trump addressed tens of thousands of supporters at a rally on Saturday evening, Oct. 31, in Butler, Pennsylvania, ahead of Election Day on Tuesday.

Attendance was 57,000, according to the Secret Service.

Comment: The polls are calling a Biden victory, so don't believe your lying eyes.






Arrow Down

Lawyer for Delaware shop owner: FBI initially turned down purported Hunter Biden laptop

John Paul Mac Isaac
© gofundme.com
John Paul Mac Isaac
Attorney Brian Della Rocca provides detailed timeline of client's interactions with FBI, political figures and decries 'smear campaign' against shop owner.

The family of the Delaware shop owner who says he came into possession of a laptop purportedly belonging to Hunter Biden first tried to turn over the computer to the FBI in summer 2019 but was rebuffed, only to have agents return months later during President Trump's impeachment proceedings, his lawyer said Thursday night.

In a lengthy statement to Just the News, attorney Brian Della Rocca provided a detailed timeline of the actions his client, John Paul Mac Isaac, says he took in trying to get authorities to investigate the laptop.


Bullseye

DHS Chief Chad Wolf shreds Twitter CEO Dorsey: 'Your censorship poses a threat to our security'

Chad Wolf
© Greg Nash/Getty Images
Acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf
Acting Department of Homeland Security Secretary Chad Wolf slammed far-left Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey in a letter on Friday for his censorship of a top U.S. law enforcement official, calling his actions a threat to U.S. national security.

Twitter suspended the account of Customs and Border Protection (CBP) Commissioner Mark Morgan for posting factually accurate information, which Twitter deemed to be "hateful content." Morgan's tweet correctly stated that border walls help prevent "gang members, murderers, sexual predators, and drugs" from entering the United States.

In a letter addressed to Dorsey, Wolf slammed the far-left tech CEO, calling his actions "disturbing," "startling," and a threat to "national security."


Comment: Called out on their presumptive ruling, Twitter 'managed' a reply:
Wolf accused the platform of lying about events surrounding Morgan's lock-out, noting that a Twitter spokesperson gave a misleading quote to the media about how the company revived the account.

"Adding insult to injury - and insult to Americans' intelligence - Twitter spread disinformation by misrepresenting Twitter's intentional censorship," Wolf went on, adding that a company representative told Politico's Caitlin Oprysko that it reversed the decision on appeal. Wolf said that gave "the false impression that Twitter's appeal process remedied a mistake, but in fact Twitter's appeal process failed."

After being locked out of his handle for some 20 hours, Morgan has since issued a statement about the incident, saying Twitter is "out of control in their clear bias against this administration" and slamming the company for "censorship" that should "outrage every American."

The Fox Business video is well worth a viewing...Mark Morgan is explicitly clear on the reasons and benefits provided by Trump's wall project as well as the despicable micromanaged removal of the DHS tweet.


Eye 1

Anti-Trump mole Miles Taylor unveils president's 'shocking sins'...mostly farcical outbursts and public promises to voters

Trump
© Reuters/Jonathan Drake
US President Donald Trump
The ex-Trump staffer who revealed himself as the author of an anonymous New York Times piece has tried to frame publicly stated policies, such as removing troops from Syria, as scandalous revelations and crimes against America.

Miles Taylor, a former Department of Homeland Security (DHS) employee, tweeted a list on Saturday of what he called "foolish, unethical, un-American and/or illegal" directives that he witnessed from President Donald Trump during his tenure in the administration. But rather than condemning the president, the list appears to show the commander-in-chief taking steps that reflect the policies he promised to voters when he campaigned successfully for the job in 2016.