
Displaced Syrians flee fighting in Idlib province's southeast on January 7, 2018.
Hay'at Tahrir a-Sham (HTS) has outmaneuvered its political and military rivals in the northwest in recent weeks, taking control of most major population centers in Idlib province, dissolving local governance and monopolizing civil authority.
As a result, HTS is "everywhere" in Idlib province, says Syria analyst Sam Heller, a Beirut-based writer and fellow at The Century Foundation.
HTS "can just reach out and touch anything they want to," Heller tells Syria Direct's Justin Clark. "If they want to be there, then they can be."
The hardline coalition's rule over the northwest has created what Heller calls a "critical mass of jihadist control," making it an unsustainable mini-state.
The Syrian government launched a major offensive in southern Idlib province last December, retaking large swathes of the province. The latest push by the government is likely the first phase of a "regime re-conquest of the northwest," Heller tells Syria Direct.














Comment: Following on the heels of the defeat of ISIS, the Syrian Army has been liberating towns in Idlib daily for weeks. These maps show their progress over the past month:
December 12, 2017
January 12, 2018