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Escalation of US-China tit-for-tat tariffs to tank US GDP by 1 tln dollars in 10 years, study

us china trade war
An escalation of U.S.-China bilateral tariffs will shave off 1 trillion U.S. dollars from the U.S. economy in a decade and inflict a particular damage on the information and communications technology (ICT) sector, according to a recent study released by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

"Escalation of bilateral tariffs results in lower GDP, lower employment, lower investment, and lower trade flows for the United States," said the study titled "Assessing the Costs of Tariffs on the U.S. ICT Industry."

The collaborative work of the chamber and the research firm Rhodium Group was published on Friday. It found that the tariff measures would cost the U.S. GDP from 45 billion dollars to 60 billion dollars in the first year following the imposition, and the figure grows to range from 89 billion dollars to 125 billion dollars annually five years later.

Vader

The empire of absurdity grinds on: Recycled neocons, recycled enemies

American empire imperialism
© Matt Wuerker
There are times when I wish that the United States would just drop the charade and declare itself a global empire. As a veteran of two imperial wars, a witness to the dark underside of America's empire-denial, I've grown tired of the equivocation and denials from senior policymakers. The U.S. can't be an empire, we're told, because - unlike the Brits and Romans - America doesn't annex territories outright, and our school children don't color its colonies in red-white-and-blue on cute educational maps.

But this distinction, at root, is rather superficial. Conquest, colonization, and annexation are so 19th century - Washington has moved beyond the overt and engages in the (not-so) subtle modern form of imperialism. America's empire over the last two decades - under Democrats and Republicans - has used a range of tools: economic, military, political, to topple regimes, instigate coups, and starve "enemy" civilians. Heck, it didn't even start with 9/11 - bullying foreigners and overturning uncooperative regimes is as American as apple pie.

Snakes in Suits

Pompeo admonishes senators that voted to end US involvement in the Yemeni civil war

Pompeo/Child
© CounterPunch/McNamee/Getty Images/KJN
War is the way to end suffering? 16 million dead Yemenis don't think so!
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Friday rebuked the senators who oppose U.S. involvement in Yemen's civil war, by implying they don't "truly care" about the suffering caused by the conflict. Pompeo spoke about this week's Senate vote:
"We all want this conflict to end. We all want to improve the dire humanitarian situation. But the Trump administration fundamentally disagrees that curbing our assistance to the Saudi-led coalition is the way to achieve these goals.

"If you truly care about Yemeni lives, you'd support the Saudi-led effort to prevent Yemen from turning into a puppet state of the corrupt, brutish Islamic Republic of Iran," Pompeo told reporters at the State Department.
Pompeo took a defiant posture two days after a bipartisan majority of the Senate called for President Trump to end U.S. involvement in airstrikes launched by the Gulf coalition that has intervened in the war. The resolution of disapproval included a carveout for intelligence-sharing, but Pompeo highlighted the stakes of a fight against the Iran-backed Houthi rebels who seized the country's capital in 2014.
"The senators who voted 'aye' say they want to end the bombing in Yemen and support human rights. But we really need to think about whose human rights," Pompeo said. "The way to alleviate the Yemeni people's suffering isn't to prolong the conflict by handicapping our partners in the fight, but by giving the Saudi-led coalition the support needed to defeat Iranian-backed rebels and ensure a just peace."

Comment: The absence of US troops on the ground and blaming Iran for the war are excuses used by Washington and the Pentagon to qualify their activities in assisting Saudi Arabia's decimation of Yemen. However, given its integral role in this conflict, the US may not escape international and political blame for aiding and abetting war crimes. Meanwhile, the Senate has finally awakened to the consequences of its own inaction and hopefully sees through Pompeo's argument. Going forward, Congress may seek to change US policy and re-establish its war-powers control, but for Yemen it will be too little, too late.

See also:


Bad Guys

Orban's party suspended from European parliament bloc over ongoing feud with Brussels

Orban
© Reuters/Francois Lenoir
Hungary's ruling right-wing party Fidesz has been suspended from the center-right 'European People's Party' bloc (EPP), as growing confrontation between Viktor Orban and EU leadership comes to a head in the European Parliament.

After serious debate over Fidesz' fate in the transnational EU bloc, the EPP has voted to suspend the party rather than kicking them out altogether as some had called for.

While statements from Fidesz have suggested that they might quit the center-right bloc in case of a suspension, Orban struck a conciliatory tone at a press conference after the EPP vote, saying that they "voluntarily" agreed to suspend the party's participation. In response to the creation of an independent commission reviewing the rule of law in Hungary, Orban has also appointed three officials, who will report to him on relations between the EPP and Fidesz.

Stop

US shouldn't seek new 'ideological confrontations' abroad

Robert Kagan
© Brookings Institution/Paul Morigi
Brookings Senior Fellow and author Robert Kagan
Robert Kagan warns us about global authoritarianism:
Of all the geopolitical transformations confronting the liberal democratic world these days, the one for which we are least prepared is the ideological and strategic resurgence of authoritarianism. We are not used to thinking of authoritarianism as a distinct worldview that offers a real alternative to liberalism.
We are not used to thinking of authoritarianism as a distinct worldview because it isn't one. All authoritarian states share certain things in common, and they may see some of the same things as threats, but there isn't a single worldview that all authoritarian governments subscribe to. There is no one ideology that binds them together. Most of them are nationalistic to one degree or another, but because of that they usually have competing and opposing goals. Treating all authoritarian regimes as part of the same global threat lumps illiberal and majoritarian democracies together with kleptocracies, communist dictatorships, and absolute monarchies. That exaggerates the danger that these regimes pose, and it tries to invent a Cold War-like division between rival camps that doesn't really exist. If the U.S. treats these states as if they are all in league with one another, it will tend to drive together states that would otherwise remain at odds and keep each other at arm's length.

Comment: See also:


Snakes in Suits

Deputy FM Ryabkov to war-hawk Abrams: Venezuela 'aid' op is unacceptable, Russia will protect its interests

Ryabkov • Abrams
© Reuters/Thomas Peter, AFP/Johannes Eisele
Russian Deputy FM Sergey Ryabkov • US special envoy Elliott Abrams
Russia is opposed to any efforts by the US to use 'humanitarian aid' as a pretext to intervene in Venezuela, Deputy FM Sergey Ryabkov told US special envoy Elliott Abrams, adding that Moscow will protect its interests there.

The diplomats met in Rome on Tuesday to discuss the increasing tensions between Washington and Moscow over the Donald Trump administration's continued push for regime change in Venezuela.

Ryabkov told RT, where he appeared live after the talks:
"We strongly urged the US side... against any temptation to resort to military power. It includes our warning against, so to speak, hardcore massive military intervention, which can't be excluded given the type of behavior we've seen on the US side in recent years." The same goes for "low intensity conflicts - the penetration into the sovereign territory of Venezuela from abroad by elements that could be described as paramilitaries to stage provocations and in other ways interfere in the affairs of this state."
Russia's representative told Abrams that Moscow's interests in Venezuela must be protected and said he assumes that Washington has heard that demand. The deputy FM also pointed out that Moscow is increasingly worried about Washington's sanctions against Caracas.

Brick Wall

George W. Bush: 'Borders should be respected' says ex-president who invaded and bombed 4+ nations

Soldier/Bush
© Reuters/Alex Brandon/Saad Shalash
Soldier in Baghdad • Former US President George W. Bush
Borders are not imaginary lines and must be respected by all, former president George W. Bush has declared, apparently unaware of the numerous border-defying US bombings and invasions during his administration. Twitter remembers!

Weighing in on the contentious immigration debate that has gripped the country, the Republican ex-president suggested that Americans should find a common middle ground in order to break the political deadlock.

"That starts with recognizing a plain responsibility at the border - and, in an often chaotic situation, being willing to state the obvious: Borders are not arbitrary and they need to be respected - along with the fine men and women of immigration services and our Border Patrol," he said during a naturalization ceremony for new citizens, hosted at the Bush Presidential Center in Dallas, Texas.


Airplane

Two US probes scrutinize how Boeing 737 MAX 8 with 'flawed flight system' got the green light

Boeing-737 MAX8
© Boeing
Boeing 737 MAX8
Days after media reported that the troubled Boeing 737 MAX 8's certification lacked proper oversight and analysis, two US departments are looking into how the new jet was allowed to fly with a suspect flight control device.

A grand jury in Washington DC has subpoenaed at least one person behind the Boeing 737 MAX's certification, according to the Wall Street Journal. The subpoena, initiated by the Justice Department's criminal division, seeks documents and correspondence relating to the aircraft, which has been marred by two crashes in less than a year and is now grounded across the world.

Meanwhile, the Transportation Department's inspector general has launched a separate probe into the approval of the 737 MAX by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).

Comment: More from RT: European air regulator doesn't trust American FAA, will keep 737 MAX grounded pending extra tests
"I can assure you that we will not let the plane fly on our side until we find acceptable answers," agency head Patrick Ky told a European Parliament hearing on Tuesday.

MCAS counteracts an aerodynamic problem that causes the plane's nose to drift upwards in flight by manipulating the tail to keep the plane level. However, the system relies on readings from a nose-mounted sensor, and can overcompensate if those readings are false, pushing the aircraft's nose downward and into a dive.

The system was certified as safe by the FAA, and regulatory agencies around the world followed the US agency's lead, carrying out only minor tests of their own on the aircraft. Furthermore, the engineers claim that Boeing downplayed potential dangers with the MCAS, did not train pilots to work with the system, and cut corners to bring the plane to market quicker.

The FAA has said that fixing the 737 MAX's software issues will take "months." Ky, however, told the EU hearing that the EASA will not trust the FAA's assessment this time around. "We want to make sure that the upgrades are safe not only in terms of architecture, design and validation, but are also accompanied by the appropriate training requirements," he said.



Attention

Gabbard: Calling Trump a Putin puppet is dangerous and stupid, Twitter responds that she is one also

Tulsi Gabbard
© AFP/Eric Baradat
Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI)
Democratic candidate for president and establishment-punching bag Tulsi Gabbard is taking heat on Twitter for daring to suggest that the Russiagate scandal could be pushing the US and Russia toward a dangerous new Cold War.

Gabbard tweeted that "short-sighted" politicians and media pundits who spend their time accusing Donald Trump of being in cahoots with Russia were helping bring about a new arms race because the accusations have led Trump to do "everything he can to prove he's not [Russian President Vladimir] Putin's puppet - even if it brings us closer to nuclear war."

In a sane world, journalists, pundits and even Gabbard's fellow Democrats all understood exactly what she meant and took her point on board. Except, this is Twitter we're talking about, so of course, she was eviscerated.


Comment: More from RT:
[N]ews of the retweet quickly spread across the pond, where the UK's Independent newspaper reported immediately on Trump's "endorsement" of the "explosive claim" that Britain had a hand in encouraging Russiagate.

The Independent also took the time to needlessly smear Gabbard in the piece, claiming that she "appears to be receiving support from Russia" - citing only a flawed NBC report as evidence.

The NBC "analysis" in question relied on 'expertise' from discredited cybersecurity firm New Knowledge, which was exposed by the New York Times last year for having created fake Russian bots online, ironically with the very goal of smearing candidates for supposed ties to Russia.



MIB

AOC and her chief of staff quietly removed from control of Justice Democrats PAC

Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic Rep. Alexandria-Ocasio Cortez and her top aide are no longer board members of the outside PAC credited with orchestrating her political rise, according to a corporate document filed Friday to a Washington, D.C., agency.

The New York Democrat and her chief of staff, Saikat Chakrabarti, who served as her campaign chair, joined the board of Justice Democrats in December 2017, according to the political action committee's website. It also said the two held "legal control over the entity" at the same time it was playing a key role in supporting Ocasio-Cortez's campaign prior to her shock victory over incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Crowley in June 2018.

Attorneys for Ocasio-Cortez said she was removed from Justice Democrats' board in June 2018, but she was listed an "entity governor" of the PAC as recently as March 14, according to corporate filings, The Daily Caller News Foundation previously reported.

Comment: Golly, maybe it has something to do with the $1M slushfund Chakrabarti made disappear.