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Pepe Escobar: The Iranian elections broken down

iran elections
© Morteza Nikoubazl / Reuters
An Iranian man casts his vote during Iran's parliamentary election, at a mosque in central Tehran March 2, 2012
Iran's elections this week are crucial as they will determine whether the Persian-style controlled opening conducted by President Hassan Rouhani - and his premier Javad Zarif - will ensure continuity, supported by a favorable Majlis (Parliament).

Not only have Iran's elections yielded prime political players, such as "dialogue of civilizations" president [Mohammad] Khatami, and the immensely controversial president [Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad; parliamentary elections for their part pit an array of factions involved in complex alliances virtually opaque to outside observers.

At stake this time around are the business fruits to be collected after the Vienna nuclear deal and the end of the UN and EU sanctions (significant US sanctions remain); the progressive integration of Iran into the China-driven New Silk Roads; Iran's strategy to recover market share in the global oil trade, coupled with the immense investment necessary to upgrade its energy industry; deals after deals clinched with European - not to mention Asian - partners; the full, and not partial re-entry of Iran into global consumer markets; and last but not least a shot at reelection for Rouhani in the next presidential elections.

So forget about proverbially pathetic Western disinformation, especially the usual US neocon and Zionist demonization of all things Iran. Here's what you need to watch to keep these elections in perspective.

Brick Wall

The truth on Syria: Is there a crack in the dam?

obama dam
© saberpoint.blogspot.com
The truth is in there.
One cannot help but noticing two rather interesting articles, by Steven Kinzer and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., published in mainstream media that just may indicate that the dam holding back the truth about the western-backed invasion of Syria by head-chopping, organ eating, sex slave trading jihadi "rebels" has sprung a few major leaks.

Steven Kinzer in the Boston Globe

First came the article by Steven Kinzer, a longtime journalist with the New York Times and now a Professor and Senior Fellow at the Watson Institute, who published a piece in the eminently mainstream Boston Globe entitled "The Media Are Misleading the Public on Syria". Mr. Kinzer was rather direct, pulling no punches from his very first sentence were he declared: "Coverage of the Syrian war will be remembered as one of the most shameful episodes in the history of the American press."

Prof. Kinzer initially focused on the situation in Aleppo, scene of most recent fighting but also a stronghold of al Nusra and its allies for over 3 years. He recapped how upon seizing the city the jihadi's "rule began with a wave of repression. They posted notices warning residents: "Don't send your children to school. If you do, we will get the backpack and you will get the coffin."

He touched upon the destruction of industry in Aleppo, Syria's second major city and formerly its industrial heartland, briefly mentioning how the rebels "destroyed factories, hoping that unemployed workers would have no recourse other than to become fighters. They trucked looted machinery to Turkey and sold it.

Comment: The ability to write and speak the truth becomes a dangerous action when the PTB cannot afford their lies exposed. In return, lies become a dangerous action when the truth cannot afford to be compromised. We need more brave writers who will not compromise the truth to reach those who will listen and encourage more brave writers to challenge the narrative. This author's summation is convincing. Maybe there is a crack in the dam.


Bomb

Syria ceasefire implemented, UNSC approves agreement, Damascus and Daraa quiet for first time in years

Aleppo
© Abdalrhman Ismail / Reuters
Aleppo, Syria
The US-Russian truce deal on "cessation of hostilities" in Syria came into effect at midnight Damascus time. The ceasefire does not apply to Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL), Al-Nusra, or "other terrorist organizations" designated by the UN.

Earlier on Friday, the United Nations Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution urging all parties involved in Syrian civil war to adhere to the terms of the US-Russian deal.

The US-Russia brokered ceasefire was first announced on February 22 by Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Barack Obama.


Comment: Further reading:


Stock Up

Pepe Escobar: The rise of China and its New Silk Road will challenge US hegemony around the world

rise of china
© AFP
A woman looks at a banner about the "China Dream," Chinese President Xi Jinping's vision for the future
Beijing is advancing a Chinese-led globalization that will challenge U.S. hegemony both regionally and globally.

Earlier last week, the first Chinese commercial train, with 32 containers, arrived in Tehran after a less than 14-day journey from the massive warehouse of Yiwu in Zhejiang, eastern China, crossing Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan.

This is a 10,400 km-long trip. Crucially, it's also no less than 30 days shorter compared to the sea route from Shanghai to Bandar Abbas. And we're not even talking about high-speed rail yet - which in a few years will be installed all along from eastern China to Iran and onward to Turkey and, crucially, Western Europe, enabling 500-plus container trains to crisscross Eurasia in a flash.

When Mohsen Pour Seyed Aghaei, president of Iran Railways, remarked that, "countries along the Silk Road are striving to revive the ancient network of trade routes," he was barely touching the surface in what is an earth-shattering process.

Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Iran only last month - the first global leader to do so after nuclear sanctions were lifted. Then the heirs to the former Silk Road powers - imperial Persia and imperial China - duly signed agreements to boost bilateral trade to $600 billion over the next decade.

And that is just the beginning.

Георгиевская ленточка

So much for sanctions: Russian exports of caviar make huge jump

caviar
© Boris Babanov / Sputnik
The export of Russian black caviar has tripled in the first eleven months of last year compared with the same period of 2014, the Russian Ministry of Agriculture reported on Friday.

Every year Russia produces about 50 tons of black caviar, and exported 4.71 tons last year. Caviar imports fell from 8.67 tons in 2014 to just 3.5 tons. According to the ministry, the improvement in exports is mainly due to sturgeon farming as well as favorable market conditions due to the exchange rate.

With the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia's caviar business became dominated by poachers. Wide-spread poaching in the Caspian Sea depleted the sturgeon population. Statistics from the World Wildlife Fund Russia showed that in 2010 the fish population was just 2.5 percent of what it had been in the late 1980s.

Russia imposed a blanket ban on the export of black caviar in 2002, and later on commercial sturgeon fishing. Since then black caviar have been produced by state fish farms where sturgeon are reared. The only caviar available for purchase legally today is from fish raised on fish farms.

In February 2011, the caviar export ban was lifted. Sturgeon fishing is allowed in Russia only for scientific and reproduction purposes.

Eye 1

Brazil building undersea cable to Europe to avoid US snooping

Dilma Rousseff
© Georges Gobet / AFP
Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff
A new underwater cable that is to link Brazil with Portugal will protect Latin American internet traffic from US surveillance, Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff indicated after meeting the presidents of the European Commission and the European Council.

"We have to respect privacy, human rights and the sovereignty of nations. We don't want businesses to be spied upon," Rousseff told a joint news conference.

Rousseff was among the world leaders who openly criticized the US after the revelation of the scale of its electronic surveillance program by NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden. She postponed a scheduled visit to America over a report that the US intelligence agency snooped on her emails and phone.

Not only Brazilian political leaders, but also captains of industry have been reportedly under US surveillance, including the oil giant Petrobras. Critics accused the US of using its intelligence capabilities for economic espionage that has nothing to do with national security.

Magnify

Can Trump even make the connection, see the bigger picture? Donald Trump's grandfather was an illegal migrant and 'Trojan horse'

Trump wave
© Gage Skidmore/flickr, CC BY-SA
Beware Trojan horses.
During New Year celebrations in Cologne, there were more than 500 reported attacks against women, including robbery and sexual assault. Most of the suspects are of North African origin, and some are thought to have entered the country illegally or as asylum seekers.

The news was welcome campaign fodder for US presidential hopeful Donald Trump. Referring to German chancellor Angela Merkel's open door policy on refugees from Syria, he commented in his usual rhetoric: "I don't know what the hell she is thinking".

Trump went on to say that he did not want to have "people coming in from migration from Syria (sic)" as these were aggressive young men who "look like they should be on the wrestling team". More dangerously still, Trump believed such people could act as terrorist "Trojan horses".


Trump's comments are in line with his vicious verbal attacks on Mexicans and other immigrant groups in the United States. But they betray his own family background. His grandfather, Friedrich Trump, a German, lived a migrant life in the US on the edge of illegality and rejection. During the World War I, he belonged to an immigrant group which was sweepingly labelled the "enemy within" or - in his grandson's parlance - a Trojan horse.

Comment: If the information in this article is accurate, can Trump even make the connection to his own family's past and how he makes himself into a hypocrite for speaking the way he does about the issues of immigration into the United States without acknowledging this. Also, it is doubtful he can see the same forces that stirred up WWI and drove his grandfather to have problems both in the United States and Germany are the same forces at play today pushing the world and its people to be divided and at each others throats with the associated and manipulated fear, anger and frustration.

Without seeing and understanding 'the man behind the curtain,' Trump if elected would be easily manipulated and pushed by these same forces to act even worse than he sounds on the election trail. He has no compassion for people, for humanity and the truth and so has the potential to become a monster rivaling histories worst examples.


Hourglass

Pepe Escobar: Midnight in Damascus

Jobar, Syria
© AFP 2016/ Abd Doumany
Imagine you are part of a hardcore, heavily weaponized Islamist outfit in Syria.

You would have had until noon this Friday to contact the US and/or Russia military and win a prize; be part of a "cessation of hostilities," ersatz "ceasefire" that does not apply to ISIS/ISIL/Daesh and Jabhat al-Nusra, a.k.a. al-Qaeda in Syria, as well as assorted remnants of the former Free Syrian Army (FSA) who are for all practical purposes embedded with al-Nusra.

Compounding the drama, as background noise you have US Secretary of State John Kerry bluffing that Plan B is the partition of Syria anyway. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov once again had to call for order in the court.

Red Flag

According to US think tank: NATO's EU members unable, unprepared to fight Russians

tanks
© Fabian Bimmer / Reuters
Leopard 2 tanks as part of German Bundeswehr training exercise.
A report by influential US-based think tank the Atlantic Council says NATO's European members can't fight a war against Russia. Earlier, the commander of US European forces said Americans were ready to "fight and win" against Russia.

The report, due to be released Friday, was prepared by six senior defense experts, including former NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, deputy supreme commander Sir Richard Shirreff and former Italian defense minister and NATO military committee chair Giampaolo di Paola. The Financial Times said it warns of a "lack of progress" in NATO's build-up plans.

Many of the key members of the alliance are dogged by "chronic underfunding" and "critical deficiencies" in their "hollowed out" militaries, the report says. For example, Germany has only 10 usable Tiger helicopters out of its fleet of 31, and just 280 of its 406 Marder armored infantry vehicles are in full working order. For the UK "the deployment of a brigade, let alone a division at credible readiness, would be a major challenge," Shirreff says in the report. For one of the military exercises conducted in Europe in 2015, the UK had to redeploy tanks from Canada, "because the serviceability and spares situation in the UK's fleet was so dire."

If NATO really is not capable to defend itself from a possible Russian attack in Europe, it only means that it doesn't use its defense budget well, Jan Oberg, director of the Transnational Foundation for Peace and Future Research, told RT. "The Russians have 8 percent military expenditure of NATO's. It means all this is propaganda and should not be taken on face value," he said. "If NATO cannot muster an attack [sic] from Russia - which apparently is very unlikely - when it has 12 times more military power and higher technology, it's because you are a lousy manager," he added.

Comment: Maybe the US and NATO can put the proposed war on its debit card.


Play

South Front: Syrian Army fighting to retake parts of Aleppo-Damascus highway from ISIS, EU proposes ban on arms to Saudi Arabia

south front
International Military Review - Syria (Feb. 26)