Welcome to Sott.net
Fri, 05 Nov 2021
The World for People who Think

Puppet Masters
Map

Vader

Understanding America's "regime change" strategy in Russia, and why it's failed so far

Putin
In what is a very timely admission taking into account the topic of my last article - 21st century international relations and decision-making, the head of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (Служба внешней разведки Российской Федерации), Sergey Naryshkin, pointed to a low risk method of "hybrid" warfare and named a specific example where it is being implemented. RT reported the following on June 18th (emphasis my own):
"Western secret services are perfecting clandestine tools which are designed to weaken countries like viruses weaken bodies, the Russian foreign intelligence chief has said. This kind of warfare is currently used in Venezuela.

The criticism came from Sergey Naryshkin, who heads Russia's foreign intelligence agency SVR. He said spies are constantly improving the tool used to dispose of governments that the West does not like.

'We are talking about creating a universal algorithm for conducting clandestine influence operations in a continuous manner and on a global scale,' he said. According to the official, this clandestine work 'never stops and targets not only enemies, but also friends and neutral powers in the times of peace, crisis and war.'

Bad Guys

Jerry Nadler: Sexist pig who should be censured by Congress

Hope Hicks congressional hearing

Hope Hicks arrives to a closed session interview with the House Judiciary Committee.
On June 19, Hope Hicks, the former White House director of strategic communications then director of White House communications, was interviewed by the House Judiciary Committee. The interview was not public and was behind closed doors. Yesterday, a transcript of the interview was released.

It was revealed that during the interview Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-NY) referred to Hicks as "Ms. Lewandowski" three separate times before she corrected him. If I hadn't seen the transcript for myself, I simply would not have believed it.

Her name is Hope Hicks. It practically rolls off the tongue. It's not forgettable. And certainly not a name that one would confuse.

The level of disrespect by a congressman to an individual testifying before Congress is absolutely stunning. The blatant sexism Nadler displayed simply cannot be ignored.

Chess

Art of the Iranian Deal: Iran Goes for Maximum Counter-Pressure Against US, Calls Trump's Bluff

rouhani
Sooner or later the US "maximum pressure" on Iran would inevitably be met by "maximum counter-pressure". Sparks are ominously bound to fly.

For the past few days, intelligence circles across Eurasia had been prodding Tehran to consider a quite straightforward scenario. There would be no need to shut down the Strait of Hormuz if Quds Force commander, General Qasem Soleimani, the ultimate Pentagon bête noire, explained in detail, on global media, that Washington simply does not have the military capacity to keep the Strait open.

As I previously reported, shutting down the Strait of Hormuz would destroy the American economy by detonating the $1.2 quadrillion derivatives market; and that would collapse the world banking system, crushing the world's $80 trillion GDP and causing an unprecedented depression.

Soleimani should also state bluntly that Iran may in fact shut down the Strait of Hormuz if the nation is prevented from exporting essential two million barrels of oil a day, mostly to Asia. Exports, which before illegal US sanctions and de facto blockade would normally reach 2.5 million barrels a day, now may be down to only 400,000.

Comment: It's really looking like Iran has Trump cornered, which might explain why he has been backing off the rhetoric since the Gulf of Oman tanker attacks. Hesameddin Ashena, and adviser to Rouhani, offered the following message via Twitter:

Hesameddin Ashena tweeted that war and boycotts are two sides of the same coin, and that the US should think twice about sanctions if it doesn't want a war.
War and boycott are two on one coin and along with the continuation of sanctions that are demanding or unintentionally moving towards the war. So if you don't want a war, you should be thinking about sanctions.



X

Trump cancels military retaliation against Iran at the last moment

global hawk
U.S. President Donald Trump has confirmed that he ordered U.S. military strikes against Iran in retaliation for the shooting down of a U.S. Navy drone on June 20.

In a series of tweets on June 21, Trump said he called off strikes targeting three sites in Iran just 10 minutes before they were to be carried out.

He said he did so because he was told that the number of casualties may reach 150 people, which the president said was "not proportionate" to the downing of the unmanned U.S. surveillance aircraft.

"I am in no hurry," Trump tweeted. "Our Military is rebuilt, new, and ready to go, by far the best in the world. Sanctions are biting & more added last night. Iran can NEVER have Nuclear Weapons, not against the USA, and not against the WORLD!"

Comment: Apparently the aircraft and warships were already in position and ready to fire when Trump called off the attack.
The decision to launch 'limited' military strikes on Iran was all but a done deal up to 7pm EST, when Trump withdrew his approval from the already unravelling operation, the New York Times reported on Thursday night, followed by ABC News and AP, also citing US officials aware of the internal discussions.

The military planes and vessels were already scrambled and were waiting for the go-ahead from Washington.

The media reports indicate that Trump was talked out of striking Iran while meeting with national security aides and congressional leaders prior to the proposed strike.

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, who was present at the meeting with Trump, said lawmakers urged him to avoid further escalation, warning of "unintended consequences" from inflaming the standoff.

"The president certainly listened to what we had to say," Schiff told AP.
But some doubt the truthfulness of this narrative:


Trump had already been playing down the downing of the drone, calling it unintentional and relatively minor. So there are several possibilities: the hawks planned and pushed for the strike (with or without initially convincing Trump, who finally decided to abandon the idea), the strike was planned as a bit of political theater a la the strikes on Syria in previous years complete with warnings to the Iranians in order to avoid further escalation and retaliation (which the Iranians may have rejected).

Sputnik reports:
A pair of US Air Force B-52 Stratofortress bombers, each capable of carrying up to tens of thousands of kilograms of munitions, including long-range cruise missiles and nuclear bombs, flew over the Persian Gulf on Friday morning following Iran's shooting down of a US reconnaissance drone a day earlier, radar data posted by flight monitoring resources has revealed.

The bombers, flying out of the Al Udeid Air Base southwest of Doha, Qatar and going by the call signs GRIMM21 and GRIMM23, were reported active over the Gulf soon after President Trump told reporters that Iran and the world would soon "find out" how the US would respond.

The strategic bombers were reportedly being escorted by four F-15C Eagle fighter jets.
Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister gave this assessment of the current situation:
"I will not give estimates of what was really happening over the recent hours in this context, but the information that we have shows absolutely clearly that the situation is extremely dangerous. I would call this balancing on the brink of war ... Most 'fires' in the Middle East were sparked by Washington's 'arsonist' policies. There still is a risk of conflict, and we call on responsible players again - if there are any responsible players left in Washington - to assess the possible consequences. We warn them against hasty steps", Ryabkov told reporters.
This report suggests what many already suspect, that Bolton is the one pushing hardest for Trump to go full Neocon on Iran:
US President Donald Trump is currently engaged in a debate with National Security Adviser John Bolton over how to deal with the Iran issue, a senior White House official has told CNN.

The official reportedly said that in the Iran debate between Trump and Bolton, officials such as Pompeo, Vice President Mike Pence and incoming acting Secretary of Defense Mark Esper play the role of "swing votes".
...
The President reminded reporters in the Oval Office that "I want to get out of these endless wars. I campaign on that."

His tempered remarks were in sharp contrast to positions voiced by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and particularly harsh warnings of John Bolton and other senior security aides.

CNN learned from a senior diplomatic source that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo acts as "a triangulator" between Donald Trump and John Bolton on the Iran issue.

"From what we've seen, Pompeo has made an effort to be a sort of triangulator between Bolton's well-known views and the President -- somewhere in between," the diplomatic source said.
But judging from his public statements, it seems Pompeo is more in the Bolton camp than the Trump camp. Trump watches Tucker Carlson. Maybe Carlson is the one Trump is really listening to:


Along the same lines, Abdel Bari Atwan warns:
Even if there is no direct US attack, the Iranians will not simply sit back and wait to be starved into submission by Trump's embargo and halting of their oil exports. That is another thing the US president does not understand. And he may never understand it until he sees the extent of their retaliation against his country's forces, warships and bases, and his allies' cities, airports, and power and desalination plants.
That last bit is in reference to a missile strike on a Saudi desalination plant, allegedly originating from Yemen.






Bullseye

'Politicians in Washington need courage to vote on wars,' lawmaker lashes out at Iran hawks

fighter jet
© Reuters / Handout
A handful of Republicans have joined the chorus urging the Trump administration to hold back on war with Iran, reminding the president the Constitution doesn't allow him to unilaterally declare war - and the voters don't want it.

"Politicians in Washington need the courage to actually vote on [military action overseas] and decide what's worthy of spilling American blood and what isn't," Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Florida) told the Hill, adding that "there are Republicans who are not neocons, who are not interventionists" who support reining in the Trump administration's efforts to unilaterally plunge the country into another quagmire.

Gaetz is working with Rep. Ro Khanna (D-California) on a bipartisan resolution to affirm that 2001's Authorization for Use of Military Force - the resolution used to back up every American military intervention since the post-9/11 invasion of Afghanistan - does not cover Iran.

Chess

Georgian Parliament speaker resigns amid mass protests

tbilisi protest
© REUTERS/Irakli Gedenidze
People cover faces to protect themselves from tear gas during a protest in Tbilisi, Georgia
The speaker of the Georgian Parliament has stepped down on foot of the massive, violent rallies that rocked the capital city of Tbilisi following a visit by Russian MPs.

Irakli Kobakhidze resigned on Friday, the head of the ruling Georgian Dream Kakha Kaladze announced, explaining that "this decision means being accountable to the people."

The party leader also accused some "reckless destructive forces" of igniting the unrest, adding that they are to be prosecuted for what he said was "organizing mass violence."

Bad Guys

Conflicting agendas: Trump tells team to tone down tough talk on Iran

trump
© Alex Wong/Getty
For months, the Trump administration has been talking in increasingly alarming terms about the Iranian threat. Now, the president wants his people to cool down the hot rhetoric.

President Donald Trump has privately pushed his representatives to walk back their tough talk on Iran-and reiterate that the administration is not aiming to go to war with Tehran.

Two senior officials and three other individuals with direct knowledge of the administration's strategy in the region tell The Daily Beast that the president has asked officials to tone down their heated rhetoric on Iran, despite the attacks on tanker ships in the Gulf of Oman that Washington has blamed on Tehran. The president has previously said he is less hawkish on Iran than some of his advisers and this week, in a Time magazine interview, said the attacks on the tankers were "very minor."

Comment: As has been the case throughout the Trump administration competing factions are pursuing different agendas. It's notable that, since these statements, a US drone flying over Iranian territory with its tracking system turned off, in violation of international regulations, was shot down by Iran, and Trump responded:
Amid disputes over the authenticity of reports that Iran shot down a US drone, US President Donald Trump tweeted early Thursday with a clear message: "Iran made a very big mistake!"

[...]Asked if the US was considering a retaliatory strike, Trump told reporters at the White House, "You'll soon find out."

"I have a feeling... that it was a mistake made by somebody who shouldn't have been doing what they did," Trump said about the incident, speaking after a meeting with Canadian PM Justin Trudeau.
Meanwhile war-hawk John Bolton is on his way to Israel to learn what he should do next.

See also:



Blue Planet

India responds to Pakistan's offer of talks, hopes for "environment of trust"

modi khan
© Global Look Press / ZUMAPRESS / Saikat Paul (L); (R) Global Look Press / ZUMAPRESS / Zubair Abbasi (R)
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has responded to an offer to renew diplomatic talks by his Pakistani counterpart Imran Khan, expressing hope for peace between the two nuclear-armed powers and prosperity on the subcontinent.

The Indian PM finally got around to responding to a letter penned last month by Khan, congratulating Modi and his BJP party on their recent election win. A similar exchange took place between the Indian and Pakistani foreign ministers, calling for a de-escalation of tensions between the neighboring powers.

India accepted Khan's offer of resuming discussions on all matters, including exchanges on terrorism and the disputed Jammu-Kashmir region, according to reports in Pakistani media on the exchange.

Comment: See also:


Snakes in Suits

South African unions allege Rothschilds have captured state businesses for privatization agenda

south africa jet
© ANA
In a statement, Numsa and SACCA also accuse Tito Mboweni of showing reckless disregard for SAA.

The National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa (Numsa) and the South African Cabin Crew Association (SACCA) have released a joint statement accusing South African Airways (SAA) board members of having ties to the Rothschild family.

According to the statement, the Rothschilds are "interfering" in South Africa's state-owned enterprises for "selfish and greedy purposes", with the intention of collapsing SAA so it can be privatised.

Comment: The idea is not without precedent:


Gold Coins

'Can't let them compete with the dollar': Maxine Waters blasts Facebook's cryptocurrency

Facebook libra
© Reuters / Dado Ruvic / Illustration
House Financial Services Committee chair Maxine Waters (D-California) may have finally found something she opposes more than President Donald Trump: Libra, the proposed new Facebook cryptocurrency she says threatens the dollar.

Waters is demanding that Facebook stop its cryptocurrency project at once, promising that regulators will move "aggressively" to deal with the issue. She told CNBC's 'Closing Bell' on Thursday that she intended to put the new electronic medium of exchange under intense scrutiny.

"We're going to move aggressively and very quickly to deal with what is going on with this new cryptocurrency," Waters said. "I think it's very important for them to stop right now what they're doing so that we can get a handle on this."

"We've got to protect our consumers. We just can't allow them to go to Switzerland with all of its associates and begin to compete with the dollar."

The congresswoman said a special regulatory body was needed to oversee social media firms like Facebook, and compared the company's currency project to "starting a bank without having to go through any steps to do it."

Comment: See also: