© AFP 2015/ Vasily Maximov
Ukraine has always been deeply divided, both culturally and politically, with its eastern regions closely linked to Russia. However, the West obscures geopolitical realities, being obsessed with slamming Russia's leader Vladimir Putin, noted Jay Ogilvy, a Stratfor analyst.
Instead of adding fuel to the fire of the ongoing Ukrainian crisis, "foolishly giving in to calls to arm" the Kiev regime, the West should have focused on geopolitical realities and the region's history, underscored Jay Ogilvy, an American analyst, author and a member of Stratfor's editorial board.
"The dominant US narrative for Ukraine is that Ukraine is simply one more Eastern European country trying to pry itself out from under seven decades of Soviet oppression.
This narrative is profoundly misleading," the author emphasized, pointing to the fact that Ukraine has always been deeply divided both culturally and politically with its eastern regions closely connected to Russia.
Referring to statistical evidence, the Stratfor analyst pointed out that Ukraine's eastern regions, inhabited predominantly by Russian-speakers (over 50 percent), has always leaned toward Russia, voting for Viktor Yanukovych in 2004 and 2010 rather than for pro-Western candidates Viktor Yushchenko and Yulia Timoshenko.
Jay Ogilvy underscored that this phenomenon is deeply rooted in the country's past: these territories had long been an integral part of the Russian Empire, while Crimea was ceded to Ukraine only in 1954 by Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev, who "could hardly have imagined that his beloved Ukraine would cease to be part of the Soviet Union in less than 40 years."
Comment: For more analysis: Russia and Greece vs. the West: A geo-strategic 'game, set and match'?