Science & Technology
In 2005, the epidemiologist John Ioannidis at Stanford caused a storm when he wrote the paper 'Why Most Published Research Findings Are False',focusing on results in certain areas of biomedicine. He's been vindicated by subsequent investigations. For example, a recent article found that repeating 100 different results in experimental psychology confirmed the original conclusions in only 38 per cent of cases. It's probably at least as bad forbrain-imaging studies and cognitive neuroscience. How can this happen?
The problem of how to distinguish a genuine observation from random chance is a very old one. It's been debated for centuries by philosophers and, more fruitfully, by statisticians. It turns on the distinction between induction and deduction. Science is an exercise in inductive reasoning: we are making observations and trying to infer general rules from them. Induction can never be certain. In contrast, deductive reasoning is easier: you deduce what you would expect to observe if some general rule were true and then compare it with what you actually see. The problem is that, for a scientist, deductive arguments don't directly answer the question that you want to ask.
What matters to a scientific observer is how often you'll be wrong if you claim that an effect is real, rather than being merely random. That's a question of induction, so it's hard. In the early 20th century, it became the custom to avoid induction, by changing the question into one that used only deductive reasoning. In the 1920s, the statistician Ronald Fisher did this by advocating tests of statistical significance. These are wholly deductive and so sidestep the philosophical problems of induction.

Comet hits Earth 56M years ago creating telltale glassy spheres found in sediment cores.
Now, in new work presented on 27 September at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America and published this week in Science, a group of scientists bolsters its claim that a small comet impact kicked off the PETM, stirring up the carbon just 10 million years after a similar event decimated the dinosaurs. The group announced the discovery of glassy, dark beads, set in eight sediment cores tied to the PETM's start—spheres that are often associated with extraterrestrial strikes.
The critical evidence was hardly the result of a targeted campaign, according to Morgan Schaller, a geochemist at the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, New York, who presented the team's work. The spheres were hiding in plain sight—in sediments off the coast of New Jersey.
Fanuc launched an initiative to bring artificial intelligence to its robots after investing $7.3 million in Preferred Networks, a machine learning company, in 2015.
Nvidia's graphics processing units and deep-learning technology will be used to help Fanuc robots recognize, process and respond to the environment around them. It's especially important for reinforcement learning, which is how machines use artificial intelligence to adopt new skills through practice.
A robot may capture video of itself to review how it well it did, then analyze and build on that information as it keeps improving over time. Fanuc's machines will feed what they learn into a neural network that other robots can learn from and contribute to as well, reported MIT Technology Review.
Comment: Meanwhile, in Japan, researchers have created the world's first sweating robot: its porous aluminum skeleton retains water which seeps out and evaporates, cooling itself more effectively than air cooling or water circulation, thus allowing it to do more work. Here's the sweaty robot doing pushups to demonstrate:
The time will come when robots steal the bulk of our jobs, at which point an angry Trump might be the least of our worries: Automation, economic collapse, basic income slavery: Our dystopic future?
During a 1986 flyby, the space probe took a closer look at the planet and its satellites increasing the then-known number of moons around Uranus threefold. Since then, scientists believed there were 27 moons in orbit around the ice giant.
However, two planetary scientists from the University of Idaho's Moscow campus, Rob Chancia and Matthew Hedman, have re-examined Voyager 2's old data and found what they say are two exciting discoveries.
The partnership between the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) in Tysons Corner, Virginia, and the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine aims to build bridges between communities that historically have either ignored one another or butted heads. The effort includes the creation of a permanent Intelligence Community Studies Board at the academies, which will meet for the first time next week, as well as a first-ever study of how social and behavioral science research might strengthen national security.
David Honey, ODNI director of science and technology under Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, says he hopes that the new partnership will help the intelligence community improve how it collects and analyzes information. He and others are eager for help picking out useful and relevant research, as well as grasping where there is a lack of good science. Understanding "the limitations of our knowledge," says Robert Fein, a national security psychologist in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and a member of the new intelligence board, "will help to protect us against armies of snake oil salesmen."
One area in dire need of better research is figuring out when people are lying, Fein says. After the start of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, he notes, intelligence agencies poured money into research on both mechanical—think polygraphs—and behavioral—think interrogations—methods of detecting deception. But the results were disappointing, recalls Fein, who led a 2006 report on interrogation techniques for the director of national intelligence. "Researchers overpromised," he says, "and there were few useful results after millions of dollars were spent."
Comment: Their search for 'truth' will likely result in more and better propaganda with increased social control:
- Disinformation: The "Magic" of the Lie, Propaganda, Governments, Elites and How It Works
- Government propaganda, automated bots, and Internet trolls - The battle to control public opinion and manipulate social media
- The 25 rules of disinformation and propaganda
- Deception, propaganda, and social control: The power of the false narrative psy-op
Successful organic fruit-growing starts with selecting varieties that are inherently disease resistant. This important first step eliminates half the problem.
Research published in the current issue of Nature and led by William Wetzel, a new Michigan State University entomologist and the study's lead author, is shedding light on this interaction. Plants suppress their insect enemies by being variable, not just by being low quality on average as is typically thought.
Dai Chia-peng, general manager of the automation technology development committee of Foxconn, said during an interview with local Chinese media that those robots are basically made by Foxconn itself, except for some parts like servo motors and reducers that come from other parties. Those robots were deployed to Foxconn's manufacturing base in Zhengzhou, a panel factory in Chengdu, and computer and peripherals factories in Kunshan and Jiashan.
Comment: It's a case of humans obsoleting humans, the bottom line being profit. Once a robot is paid for it works for free. End game: population reduction and an artificially supported elitist rule.

University of Pittsburgh Medical Center researcher Robert Gaunt touches the finger of a robotic arm, causing Nathan Copeland, who has paralysis in all four limbs, to feel that sensation in his own finger.
For the cutting-edge experiment, a collaboration between the University of Pittsburgh and the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, electrodes smaller than a grain of sand were implanted in the sensory cortex of the man's brain. The electrodes received signals from a robot arm. When a researcher pressed the fingers of the prosthesis, the man felt the pressure in the fingers of his paralyzed right hand, effectively bypassing his damaged spinal cord
The results of the experiment, which have been repeated over several months with 30-year-old Nathan Copeland, offer a breakthrough in the restoration of a critical function in people with paralyzed limbs: the ability not just to move those limbs, but to feel them.
The experiment with Copeland was a featured stop Thursday when President Obama visited Pittsburgh for a White House Frontiers Conference on advances in science, medicine and technology. The researchers described how neuroscience has been able to build a technology where simply imagining a motion translates into motion, in this case a robotic arm.
British scientists are on the verge of making broccoli taste like chocolate and tofu taste like steak.
Researchers at London's City University have built a prototype for a device, called the Taste Buddy, which uses low-level electrical current to 'trick' your taste buds.
Comment: See also: The Vegetarian Myth by Lierre Keith and included here is a very informative video with the author.
The finding wasn't easy to come by. An international team of scientists examined deep space images taken by the Hubble from over the past 20 years, and converted them into 3D pictures. From there, they measured the number of galaxies at different times in the history of the universe, going back more than 13 billion years - near the time of the 'Big Bang.'
The researchers, led by Christopher Conselice of the University of Nottingham, also used new mathematical models which allowed them to infer the existence of galaxies which telescopes cannot observe. The team's findings are detailed in the Astrophysical Journal.
For the number of galaxies we now see and their numbers to add up, the researchers concluded that there must be a further 90 percent of galaxies in the observable universe that are too faint and too far away to be seen.













Comment: See also:
Most science studies are tainted by sloppy analysis
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Evidence based medicine - A coin's flip worth of certainty