"The purpose of this operation is to protect people who for eight years now have been facing humiliation and genocide perpetrated by the Kyiv regime," he said, according to an English translation from the Russian Mission in Geneva. "To this end, we will seek to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, as well as bring to trial those who perpetrated numerous bloody crimes against civilians, including against citizens of the Russian Federation."Official Washington and most military analysts continue to ignore Putin's words and insist that Russia's goal was to capture all of Ukraine. As my old friend, Ray McGovern, repeatedly has emphasized over the past three years: pay attention to what Putin says.
Demilitarization entails two key objectives. First, ensure the safety of the Russian-speaking populations in Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson from attacks from Ukraine. Russia's current position is much tougher than what it was prepared to accept in March 2022, when Russia and Ukraine reached a tentative agreement to end the SMO:
- Ukraine would adopt a neutral status, abandoning plans to join NATO.
- Ukraine would have limits placed on its military.
- Western countries would be obliged to help Ukraine in case of future aggression against it.
- Ukraine proposed security guarantees similar to NATO's Article 5, with countries like China, Russia, UK, France, and Belarus potentially intervening militarily if Ukraine were attacked again.
- The status of Crimea would be decided over a 10-15 year consultation period, with Ukraine promising not to attempt to retake the peninsula by force.
- Discussions would be held on the status of Russian-occupied territories, with the possibility of a meeting between Presidents Zelensky and Putin to finalize these issues.
- Russia agreed to "drastically reduce" military activity near Kyiv to facilitate further negotiations
Second, destroy the ability of the Ukrainian military to pose a threat to Russia. This means the defeat of the Ukrainian army and the destruction of its ability to launch air strikes and missiles into Russian territory. This means ending NATO support for Ukraine, which includes an end to joint-NATO / Ukraine military exercises and the sale of military equipment. This also is a nonnegotiable term for Russia.
An unexpected, but not unwelcomed result of the SMO, is that Russia's destruction of Ukraine's military has drained NATO's ability to supply the weapons and ammunition required to sustain combat operations in Ukraine. Ukraine has depleted NATO's supply of ATACMs and decimated NATO's stocks of tanks and armored personnel carriers. Unless the United States and NATO call a halt to providing military assistance to Ukraine, Russia will continue its offensive until the Ukrainian military implodes.
What does it mean to denazify? Ukraine, if it wants to continue to exist as a nation (though shorn of significant portions of its territory), must hold new elections without the neo-Nazi elements that have kept Zelensky in power. This likely will include a requirement to draft a new constitution that proscribes extremist groups from being able to organize and participate in government. Books celebrating Stephen Bandera will be prohibited. I believe this also in a nonnegotiable issue for Russia.
Western analysts and politicians are slowly coming to the realization of Ukraine's staggering losses. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense (MOD), Ukraine has suffered more than 600,000 casualties — killed and wounded — since January 1, 2024. Total casualties — per the MOD — are more than one million since February 2022. Ukraine does not have a recruitment and training regimen in place to replace these losses and will continue to bleed out the longer the war continues.
Just today, Russia confirmed its capture of the key city of Kurahove:
Russia on Monday announced a key breakthrough in eastern Ukraine, saying its forces have captured the "important logistics hub" of Kurakhove, following months of steady gains.And Russia continues to press Ukraine all along the line of contact, from Kursk in the north to Donetsk in the south:
Russian forces "have fully liberated the town of Kurakhove — the biggest settlement in southwestern Donbas," the Defense Ministry (MoD) announced on Telegram. . . .According to Meduza's military analysts, Russian forces reached the center of Kurakhove in mid-December, encircling nearly the entire city from the north, east, and south, and raising the Russian flag over the municipal government headquarters. At the time, however, Ukrainian forces still controlled the power station's industrial zone and the pipe plant on the western side of the city. Ukrainian troops were forced out of the industrial zone just before New Year's day and are now holding positions in Dachne, a village on Kurakhove's outskirts, Meduza's analysts say.
DeepState, an OSINT project with close ties to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, also shows that Russian forces have seized Kurakhove. This comes after Ukrainian analysts reported that Russian troops were advancing in the area on January 5.
Toretsk will fall soon: Russian infantry is already fixed on the northern and northwestern outskirts of Toretsk, - DSWhen Donald Trump takes office on January 20, Ukraine's military will be in worse shape and Russia will have captured more territory. The only way Trump can make good on his promise to end the war in Ukraine is to terminate all aid and withdraw US military and intelligence personnel from Ukraine. Otherwise, the war will continue until Ukraine is no longer able to sustain combat operations.
The Russian infantry is "gaining a foothold in occupied positions," complains DeepState, an analytical resource working for the GUR. "Dense buildings contribute to this, as well as partly the weather, which makes it difficult to fly drones for destruction and aerial reconnaissance," adds DS.
"Currently, the Russians are carrying out assault operations, literally, all over the city. The most intense battles are in the center, the Zabalka microdistrict, the Tsentralnaya mine, as well as the northwestern outskirts... Given recent events, the gray area in the city will increase," the report says.
Seems accurate to me !
Meanwhile in Canada we have a huge mess. Trudeau says he 'intends' to resign once he prorogues Parliament for at least 90 days to find a new Liberal leader...Who the hell wants to sign onto that sinking ship? 2 major lawsuits have been launched to stop the prorogue. All this while Trump smells blood in the water and is making it quite clear he intends to annex Canada, by "economic force" ....
2025 is starting out to be a very wild ride !