Solar activity continues to intensify.
In August 2024, the average monthly sunspot number exceeded 200 for the first time in 23 years, almost doubling the official forecast:
The current solar cycle (Solar Cycle 25) wasn't expected to be this strong. When it began in Dec. 2019, experts predicted it would be weak like its immediate predecessor Solar Cycle 24. Instead, Solar Cycle 25
may be on pace to rival some of the stronger cycles of the 20th century.
Already in May 2024 we have experienced a century-class geomagnetic storm with auroras sighted in the South Pacific, central America and south Africa.
The last time sunspot counts were this high, in Sept.-Dec. 2001, the sun was winding up to launch
the Great Halloween Storms of '03, which included the strongest X-ray solar flare ever recorded (X45) and a CME so potent it was felt by Voyager at the edge of the solar system. A repeat is not guaranteed, but current sunspot counts tell us it's possible.
© SDO Senol SanliAugust saw the highest sunspot levels in years.(3774-3808) This is a joint work of Şenol ŞANLI and Uğur İKİZLER. A composite view of sunspots in Aug. 2024.
Years from now, we may look back and realize that 2024 was the maximum of Solar Cycle 25. Or not; the original "
official forecast" predicted Solar Max would occur in July 2025. Either way, we probably have at least 2 more years of high solar activity ahead. Stay tuned.
Comment: NOAA recently
admitted that their forecasts were so wrong that they were no longer going to be forecasting solar cycles a year in advance, and instead they were now going to issue monthly predictions.
And NASA, who is apparently equally baffled, acknowledged the research of some independent scientists who predicted that this solar cycle may conclude with a 'terminator' event:
But suddenly and without warning, this localized field disappears, releasing the brake and enabling solar activity to ramp up. This drastic change is what the team dubbed solar cycle termination events, or terminators. (Because solar terminators occur at the exact moment solar minimums end, they occur after each solar cycle has officially begun.)
Taken together, whilst these official bodies do appear to have some idea of how the Sun
usually behaves, there are other accredited researchers whose research shows that there are not only other phases to the solar cycles, but there are other factors, such as ours Sun's twin, that are likely modulating its rhythms.
This is of particular import when one considers the potential threat that a Carrington-like poses to life on our planet, but also with regards to solar activity and the potential correlation that has with extinction, and evolutionary episodes.
There have already been a number of anomalous events associated with solar activity that seem to reveal we have already entered unprecedented times:
And check out SOTT radio's:
Comment: NOAA recently admitted that their forecasts were so wrong that they were no longer going to be forecasting solar cycles a year in advance, and instead they were now going to issue monthly predictions.
And NASA, who is apparently equally baffled, acknowledged the research of some independent scientists who predicted that this solar cycle may conclude with a 'terminator' event: Taken together, whilst these official bodies do appear to have some idea of how the Sun usually behaves, there are other accredited researchers whose research shows that there are not only other phases to the solar cycles, but there are other factors, such as ours Sun's twin, that are likely modulating its rhythms.
This is of particular import when one considers the potential threat that a Carrington-like poses to life on our planet, but also with regards to solar activity and the potential correlation that has with extinction, and evolutionary episodes.
There have already been a number of anomalous events associated with solar activity that seem to reveal we have already entered unprecedented times:
- Extinction and evolution: Extreme solar blasts coupled with Earth's weakening magnetic field could have dramatic impact on life
- A warning from history: The Carrington event was not unique
- Powerful Solar storm has unusually strong impact on Earth, delays SpaceX rocket launch, stalls oil rigs in Canada
- Earth's thermosphere reaches highest temperature in 20 years after being bombarded by solar storms
- Rare quadruple 'super-sympathetic' solar flare event captured by NASA
- Solar maximum could hit us harder and sooner than we thought
- 'Terminator' events on the Sun trigger plasma tsunamis and new solar cycles - Expect them next year
- NOAA scientists finally admit their solar cycle 25 predictions are WRONG, peak is approaching faster than expected
And check out SOTT radio's: