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The political consensus surrounding climate policy is collapsing. If you are not aware of this fact you will be very soon. The collapse is not due to the cold winter in places you may live or see on the news. It is not due to years without an increase in global temperature. It is not due to the overturning of the scientific consensus on the role of human activity in the global climate system.
It is due to the fact that policy makers and their political advisors (some trained as scientists) can no longer avoid the reality that targets for stabilization such as 450 ppm (or even less realistic targets) are simply not achievable with the approach to climate change that has been at the focus of policy for over a decade. Policies that are obviously fictional and fantasy are frequently subject to a rapid collapse.
The current shrillness that has been put on display by many politically-active climate scientists and the feeding-frenzy among their skeptical political opposition can be explained as a result of this looming collapse, though many will confuse the shrillness and feeding-frenzy as a cause of the collapse. Let me explain.
If you think that the current consensus on climate politics rests on a foundation called the scientific consensus, you might see signs of weakening in the political consensus as prima facie evidence that the scientific consensus must be itself weakening, or if you'd prefer, that people are making it look to be weakening, regardless of the reality. Thus, like the apocryphal boy from the Hans Brinker story (pictured above), the politically active climate scientists are actively trying to plug holes in the dike, as the skeptics try to poke more holes. The climate scientists (and their willing allies) have taken their battle to the arenas of politics, waging a scorched earth campaign of bullying, name calling, threats, and obnoxiously absurd appeals to authority. The skeptics participate in similar fashion, and the result is an all out brawl that we see escalating still before our eyes. The skeptics think they are unraveling a mythical scientific consensus imposed by an evil elite, while the climate scientists think they are waging an all out battle of righteousness against know-nothing hordes. They are both wrong.
Has climate science changed since the publication of the IPCC AR4? Not appreciably. Has the acceptance of the IPCC consensus changed among those who make decisions and advise them? Not at all. Does it matter for current commitments among policy makers whether or not, for example, Antarctica has been warming or cooling? Not at all. Or if, to pick another example, whether the West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse might be 4, 5, or 10 meters in Washington, DC in hundreds of years? Not in the least. Battles over climate science are a side show, increasingly looking like a freak show, observed simply for the spectacle.
Climate politics is collapsing because of political realities, and not real or perceived changes in how people see the science. As I have often argued, in the ongoing battle between climate scientists and skeptics there will be disproportionate carnage, because the climate scientists have so much more to lose, and not just as individuals, but also for the broader field, which includes many people simply on the sidelines.
The collapse of the political consensus surrounding climate could well be an opportunity to recast decarbonization of the global economy and adaptation to climate impacts in a manner that is much more consistent with progress toward policy goals. If climate science can be saved from itself, that would be a bonus. However, for climate science I fully expect things to get worse before they get better, simply because the most vocal, politically active climate scientists have shown no skill at operating in the political arena. The skeptics could not wish for a more convenient set of opponents.
I don't expect everyone reading this to accept my assertion that the political consensus surrounding climate is in collapse. So I'll spend some time in the coming weeks making this case. At the same time, I will spend very little additional time on the self-destruction of the politically active subset of the climate science community, even though I know that many won't accept my assertion that debates putatively about climate science are largely irrelevant to the current state of climate politics. And for those fighting to address the sustainability of climate science in this mess, good luck, you will need it to avoid getting pushed onto one side of the Manichean battle and becoming part of the carnage. However, if you really do want to learn more about my views on scientists in politicized debates, pick up a copy of The Honest Broker and then send me an email.
Comment: It is true that climate policy is in collapse. But it doesn't all just boil down to political realities as the author seems to want paint it.
Climate politics is collapsing because of political realities, and not real or perceived changes in how people see the science.
Baloney!
This is just the political machine going into action to try and control the damage caused by bad science. The promotion of bad science by those who have the power to direct the minds of the public in concert with global media are directly responsible for the hystericization of society and the collapse of anything that can vaguely be called climate policy.
It is obvious that the author of this article, Roger Pielke, Jr., is in total agreement with the promoted science based on carbon (CO2) emissions being the driver of climate. It is not the science that has a problem. It is not the perception of the science as being based on bad data or bad models or biased assumptions. The state of collapse as Pielke puts it, is because of political realities.
There are two problems with what Pielke says.
The first problem is that the science is bad. The models that global warming are based on do not sufficiently take into account things like El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, solar radiation cycles, volcanism and even cosmic forces as related in other scientific disciplines such as impact science (comets and asteroids). Why are these things continually ignored and hidden in favor of CO2 as the critical tripwire to runaway climate catastrophe? These other forces have much better data correlating them to climatic warming and cooling cycles and even climate catastrophe.
Instead of looking at these other research disciplines and trying to bring them together and increase our knowledge and understanding of nature it was decided that carbon emissions (CO2) was the driver, correlator, cause of the heating and cooling of the earth's biosphere. A trace gas comprising less than .04% (four one-hundredths of one percent) of the atmosphere was decided on as the controller of the balance between heating and cooling of the earth.
As Roger Pielke, Jr. says, the problem is not the science or how it is perceived. Everyone knows the CO2 foundation for the theory of global warming is sound. Once again - Baloney! Literally thousands of scientists and tenured climate researchers say differently and it is because of the horrible way that the science is selectively ignored and selectively promoted. There is no consensus. There never has been a consensus.
The second problem with Pielke's statement that it is only political realities that are the problem with climate policy is Pielke's overlooking of the role of
ponerization in the area of climate science. The hystericization of the public by the global warming promoters in concert with global media has become so
incestuous and so overt that it has reached into the depths of science where researchers that never endorsed the political policy yet were not affected by it can no longer stay on the sidelines and maintain their own sanity when their own knowledge is in direct conflict with the reality that is being imposed on the mindset of the world.
From Andrew M. Lobaczewski's
Political Ponerology 'A Science on the Nature of Evil Adjusted for Political Purposes'
The psychological features of each such crisis are unique to the culture and the time, but one common denominator that exists at the beginning of all such "bad times" is an exacerbation of society's hysterical condition. The emotionalism dominating in individual, collective, and political life, combined with the subconscious selection and substitution of data in reasoning, lead to individual and national egotism. The mania for taking offense at the drop of a hat provokes constant retaliation, taking advantage of hyperirritability and hypocriticality on the part of others. It is this feature, this hystericization of society, that enables pathological plotters, snake charmers, and other primitive deviants to act as essential factors in the processes of the origination of evil on a macro-social scale.
The mind signal continuously sent out by the global enforcement machine kept pounding away until it created its own personal little army of fascists, comparing skeptics to holocaust deniers if they did not believe in and worship the signal of the global influencers. Fascists calling for career climate researchers and career meteorologists to lose their jobs and certification because they are not in confluence with the global signal that is being broadcast. Fascists calling for scientists not towing the line to be brought up on charges of crimes against humanity.
Enforcing the Global Warming Signal Weather Channel Climate Expert Calls for Nazi Style Silencing of Global Warming Skeptics - Strip Them of Their Credentials
Life Is Convenient When You Define 'Truth'
As Predicted: Global Warming Skeptics Linked With Holocaust Denial
CBS 'Global Warming Special' Host Likened Warming Skeptics to Holocaust Deniers
Witch Hunt: Put oil firm chiefs on trial, says leading climate change scientist
Search "global warming" "holocaust deniers" 43,800 hits
Search "global warming" "crimes against humanity" 118,000 hitsIs this purely just political realities that is creating this so called collapse of climate policy?
The relationship between some of the so called prestigious scientific institutions and global media is outright deviant. A case in point is the
Hadley Center and Vicki Pope in her recent psychologically manipulative attempt to retune the global mind signal and incite even more hysteria in the public over the 'man-made global warming catastrophe.' It is a total disgrace and reveals the depth of the pathology that is endemic at all upper levels of society that are in positions to influence the public mind.
So why is this going on? Is it on purpose that CO2 and carbon emissions were chosen by the global influence machine? Is it all just another distraction to keep us from asking what is going on and to keep us from looking for the answers?
When the answers are already canned and ready to be spoon fed to the masses, no one will look anywhere else.
See related story and commentary on the latest manipulation by Dr. Vicky Pope and the UK Met office:
"Apocalyptic Climate Predictions" Mislead the Public, Say Experts
Comment: It is true that climate policy is in collapse. But it doesn't all just boil down to political realities as the author seems to want paint it. Baloney!
This is just the political machine going into action to try and control the damage caused by bad science. The promotion of bad science by those who have the power to direct the minds of the public in concert with global media are directly responsible for the hystericization of society and the collapse of anything that can vaguely be called climate policy.
It is obvious that the author of this article, Roger Pielke, Jr., is in total agreement with the promoted science based on carbon (CO2) emissions being the driver of climate. It is not the science that has a problem. It is not the perception of the science as being based on bad data or bad models or biased assumptions. The state of collapse as Pielke puts it, is because of political realities.
There are two problems with what Pielke says.
The first problem is that the science is bad. The models that global warming are based on do not sufficiently take into account things like El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, solar radiation cycles, volcanism and even cosmic forces as related in other scientific disciplines such as impact science (comets and asteroids). Why are these things continually ignored and hidden in favor of CO2 as the critical tripwire to runaway climate catastrophe? These other forces have much better data correlating them to climatic warming and cooling cycles and even climate catastrophe.
Instead of looking at these other research disciplines and trying to bring them together and increase our knowledge and understanding of nature it was decided that carbon emissions (CO2) was the driver, correlator, cause of the heating and cooling of the earth's biosphere. A trace gas comprising less than .04% (four one-hundredths of one percent) of the atmosphere was decided on as the controller of the balance between heating and cooling of the earth.
As Roger Pielke, Jr. says, the problem is not the science or how it is perceived. Everyone knows the CO2 foundation for the theory of global warming is sound. Once again - Baloney! Literally thousands of scientists and tenured climate researchers say differently and it is because of the horrible way that the science is selectively ignored and selectively promoted. There is no consensus. There never has been a consensus.
The second problem with Pielke's statement that it is only political realities that are the problem with climate policy is Pielke's overlooking of the role of ponerization in the area of climate science. The hystericization of the public by the global warming promoters in concert with global media has become so incestuous and so overt that it has reached into the depths of science where researchers that never endorsed the political policy yet were not affected by it can no longer stay on the sidelines and maintain their own sanity when their own knowledge is in direct conflict with the reality that is being imposed on the mindset of the world.
From Andrew M. Lobaczewski's Political Ponerology 'A Science on the Nature of Evil Adjusted for Political Purposes' The mind signal continuously sent out by the global enforcement machine kept pounding away until it created its own personal little army of fascists, comparing skeptics to holocaust deniers if they did not believe in and worship the signal of the global influencers. Fascists calling for career climate researchers and career meteorologists to lose their jobs and certification because they are not in confluence with the global signal that is being broadcast. Fascists calling for scientists not towing the line to be brought up on charges of crimes against humanity.
Enforcing the Global Warming Signal
Weather Channel Climate Expert Calls for Nazi Style Silencing of Global Warming Skeptics - Strip Them of Their Credentials
Life Is Convenient When You Define 'Truth'
As Predicted: Global Warming Skeptics Linked With Holocaust Denial
CBS 'Global Warming Special' Host Likened Warming Skeptics to Holocaust Deniers
Witch Hunt: Put oil firm chiefs on trial, says leading climate change scientist
Search "global warming" "holocaust deniers" 43,800 hits
Search "global warming" "crimes against humanity" 118,000 hits
Is this purely just political realities that is creating this so called collapse of climate policy?
The relationship between some of the so called prestigious scientific institutions and global media is outright deviant. A case in point is the Hadley Center and Vicki Pope in her recent psychologically manipulative attempt to retune the global mind signal and incite even more hysteria in the public over the 'man-made global warming catastrophe.' It is a total disgrace and reveals the depth of the pathology that is endemic at all upper levels of society that are in positions to influence the public mind.
So why is this going on? Is it on purpose that CO2 and carbon emissions were chosen by the global influence machine? Is it all just another distraction to keep us from asking what is going on and to keep us from looking for the answers?
When the answers are already canned and ready to be spoon fed to the masses, no one will look anywhere else.
See related story and commentary on the latest manipulation by Dr. Vicky Pope and the UK Met office:
"Apocalyptic Climate Predictions" Mislead the Public, Say Experts