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A study conducted at the City College of New York (CCNY) in partnership with Georgia Tech looks to have found a highly reliable way to predict audience reaction to TV shows and commercials. The method involves studying the brainwaves of only a few individuals as they watch the content. According to the researchers, these observations of brain activity reflect with considerable accuracy how larger audiences will respond to the same content.
In the
Nature Communications study, researchers explain how they analyzed the brainwaves of sixteen people who were connected to EEG electrodes as they watched mainstream television productions - namely scenes from
The Walking Dead series and several commercials from the 2012 and 2013 Super Bowls.
The main indicator of engaging and appealing content was that different people's brains responded in the same way upon viewing. When similar brain activity was noted, it was when watching something that had a record of being popular with audiences based on social media data provided by the Harmony Institute and ratings from USA Today's Super Bowl Ad Meter. For example, very similar brainwaves were observed in participants as they watched a 2012 Budweiser commercial that featured a dog that fetched beer.
The public had previously voted the ad as their second favorite that year. On the flip side, there was much less "brain agreement" when those taking part saw a GoDaddy commercial featuring a kissing couple, which rated among the worst ads in 2012. The accuracy with which the method could predict reaction to Super Bowl commercials was put at an impressive ninety percent.
At the same time, Lucas Parra, the paper's senior editor and Herbert Kayser Professor of Biomedical Engineering at CCNY,
tells us, "Brain activity among our participants watching
The Walking Dead predicted 40 percent of the associated Twitter traffic. When brainwaves were in agreement, the number of tweets tended to increase." The system could also predict 60 percent of the Nielsen ratings that measure TV audience size.
If the brainwaves of a few are in-sync with how larger audiences react, then the natural conclusion is that brainwave activity would be a good measure of how future audiences would respond to content that is as yet widely unseen. This is particularly useful,
explains Jacek Dmochowski, lead author of the paper, because "Alternative methods such as self-reports are fraught with problems as people conform their responses to their own values and expectations." The immediate physiological responses detected using EEG should be able to circumnavigate such shortcomings.
CCNY researchers were aided by Matthew Bezdek and Eric Schumacher from Georgia Tech who explained what to look for in terms of brain activity. Functional magnetic resonance imaging (
fMRI) identified evidence that brainwaves for appealing ads could be prompted by activity in visual, auditory and attention areas of the brain. "Interesting ads may draw our attention and cause deeper sensory processing of the content," said Bezdek.
The study of brainwaves also has, it is hoped, the potential to diagnose mild cognitive decline or neurological disorders such as attention deficit disorder, and to measure how engaging other kinds of content may be, such as online educational videos.
The mirth of marketing from specialists that are so out-of-touch with their consumers, that they either don't know, can't remember or never knew what it was like, what it is like .... out there in the 'real' world... so they hire market analysis teams to do research, much of which is skewed to please the boss, thus 'garbage in, garbage out' is the result.
Occassionally, a little creativity leaks into the room and scares all the bigshots running the puppet show.... until their eyes or pocketbooks get accustomed to glare and they steal it's thunder by force or temptation and make it their own... but its light quickly fades if held too tightly, but if held too loosely, the bosses don't feel they're in control... and they gotta have that feeling, like any addict and will eventually kill the goose that lays these creative golden eggs... they simply can't help it, and no amount of market analysis can prevent their hard-wired programming.. the software will be rejected if it doesn't tell them what they want to hear....
... thus the world we have today... until the program ends as those clocks need a change of batteries every now and then and none of the bosses like to change the batteries... they weren't informed about that necessity... not that it would matter, given their programming....so more market analysis please!