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Analysis (and prediction) is based upon the rational assessment of data. It is (or at least is supposed to be) a purely logical extrapolation based upon existing trends and parameters. Part of this "rational assessment" is the presumption that the various actors and authorities in our markets and economies will respond to these trends and parameters in a rational manner.
This is not merely a reasonable basis for engaging in analysis, it is the only basis. The only option to expecting rational behavior from these various participants would be to expect irrational/arbitrary behavior. However, by definition, irrational/arbitrary behavior is unpredictable. Thus such an approach is no longer "analysis" at all. It devolves into a mere guessing-game.
So we expect rational behavior and rational responses to various economic/market stimuli because we have no other choice, and when we don't see such behavior this inevitably skews all analysis based on such rational expectations. What is important to note, however, is that irrational/arbitrary behavior (and thinking) does not invalidate such rational assessments and predictions - at least not those based upon Big Picture trends/parameters - it merely alters the time-horizon.
These Big Picture trends are the economic equivalent of the proverbial "irresistible force", because boiled-down, they are nothing but manifestations of simple arithmetic. Any nation which chooses the (suicidal) economic policy of permanent deficits will default on its debts; it's just simple arithmetic (i.e. compounding interest on that debt). Any nation which allows its money-printing to spiral higher will produce hyperinflation, it's just simple arithmetic (if you keep adding water to the lemonade, you will dilute the lemonade).
The purpose of this piece is thus not to defend (no-brainer) predictions which must come true, just as certainly as "2 + 2" will always equal four. Rather, the purpose of this piece is to identify the factors which have prevented these predictions from being validated (so far), and to alert readers to the grave danger of assuming that this slow-motion collapse of Western economies will continue at the same rate.
If there is one thing we have learned with our Wonderland Matrix, it is that the puppet-masters of the One Bank are seemingly "masters of illusion." But such a conclusion gives these bankers (and their servants in government and the media) far too much credit.
Framed more negatively; we have populations of Sheep across the Western world who have been rendered so myopic through the saturation brainwashing of Western media that they would not "see" a brick wall directly in front of their own eyes - unless/until they were first told to look for it. The proof is in the numbers, the numbers from the real world.
It would be impossible for any of the Sheep to believe the lies that "inflation is too low", if they simply saw with their own eyes the hyperinflationary spiral of U.S. money-printing (and money-printing across the Western world).
No one could predict that the One Bank could simply manipulate interest rates all around the world to any numbers it desired. More to the point; no one could have predicted that even after that crime was uncovered that our corrupt governments and even more-corrupt regulators would simply allow the crime to continue.
No one could have predicted that the One Bank could manipulate all of the world's paper currencies to any numbers it desired. More to the point, no one could have predicted that even after that crime was uncovered that our corrupt governments and even more-corrupt regulators would simply allow the crime to continue.
One expects that with a single Crime Syndicate committing the largest financial crimes in human history (by a factor of at least one thousand) that those crimes will be uncovered. One expects that after such crimes are exposed that our governments and authorities will act to put an end to such crime.
What has ultimately been the most-unpredictable factor is the mindless behavior of the Sheep, themselves. Pavlov showed us how dogs can be conditioned to respond to stimuli. The One Bank has shown us how human beings can be conditioned to not respond to stimuli.
What no one could predict is that Western Sheep would become so stupefied from constant brainwashing that they would actually ignore what they saw/heard with their own senses, any time it conflicted with the lies of the propaganda machine. The only way in which anyone can be made to believe that "hot" is "cold", or "black" is "white" is if they no longer pay attention to their own sensory perceptions.
Prior to the "U.S. recovery"; we were told by the bankers that in the U.S. municipal debt market that entities "never default". Since the beginning of the mythical recovery; thirty-six U.S. city/county/municipal entities have declared bankruptcy, including the city which represents the heart of the U.S. automobile industry - Detroit.
Prior to the "U.S. recovery"; we were warned by Big Oil that the U.S. would soon run out of refining capacity, just to meet the (then) insatiable demand for petroleum products of its domestic market. Since the beginning of the mythical recovery (and with no new refinery capacity); U.S. energy consumption has collapsed so rapidly that the U.S. is now a major exporter of diesel, heating oil, and even gasoline.
Regular readers are now familiar with the chart of the "heartbeat" of the U.S. economy, the velocity of money:
How strong is this "major impulse"? According to the same bankers, and the same media talking-heads, all of these other (previously healthy) Emerging Market economies are presently in "a crisis". If the mighty U.S. economy "stimulates" these other economies any more strongly, they may all collapse completely.
Black is white. Hot is cold. Up is down. As each day passes in our surreal, Wonderland Matrix; the greatest illusion of all is that the relentless economic collapse of the West is occurring slowly. The only reason why such a façade is still temporarily intact is because the size of the lies which wall-paper over this collapse are rapidly accelerating in size.
The process in which a terminally-ill patient dies can also seem to be taking place "in slow motion". And yet, ultimately, death itself occurs in (literally) a heart-beat. One instant the heart is still beating; the next instant it isn't.
So, too, it is with these terminal Western economies. While in their near-death state (and with populations which are equally comatose); the façade of "life" and even health can be maintained. But the façade ends when death itself takes place.
What even the brainwashing of the One Bank will not be able to cover-up is the rotting stench of these corpse economies - and the growling of the Sheeps' stomachs, as our Traitor Governments fail to feed larger and larger numbers of their own populations. This slow-motion collapse of the Western bloc is ultimately also providing the forewarned with more time to prepare for the inevitable. Don't allow yourselves to be mesmerized by the Wonderland Matrix, and squander that precious time.
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